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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe
LietkabelisHOME · -
116 : 542014.12.04 · 종료
Tal TechAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME81.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 84.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +81.4%
VALUE EDGE+81.4%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADEB
LietkabelisAnalysis MetricsTal Tech
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-6.00 Point MarginHigher is better +1.50
157.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 135.00
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 62.5%
13.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

64/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
81.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
18.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Lietkabelis
W · 104-53W · 84-74W · 96-85L · 99-95L · 84-77
Tal Tech
L · 73-69L · 59-83W · 80-67L · 87-71L · 72-54

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2014.12.04Lietkabelis116 : 54Tal Tech
2014.10.24Tal Tech84 : 77Lietkabelis