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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe
Pieno ZvaigzdesHOME · -
73 : 742014.12.04 · 종료
Barons KvartalsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 67.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +67.8%
VALUE EDGE+67.8%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
Pieno ZvaigzdesAnalysis MetricsBarons Kvartals
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
-10.00 Point MarginHigher is better +9.83
172.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.67
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
67.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
32.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pieno Zvaigzdes
W · 77-62W · 73-82W · 71-97W · 87-104
Barons Kvartals
L · 80-97W · 81-78W · 75-90L · 90-71L · 87-104

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.02.25Barons Kvartals93 : 93Pieno Zvaigzdes
2016.02.10Pieno Zvaigzdes110 : 84Barons Kvartals
2014.12.04Pieno Zvaigzdes73 : 74Barons Kvartals
2014.10.16Barons Kvartals87 : 104Pieno Zvaigzdes