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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe
Rakvere TarvasHOME · -
77 : 542014.11.27 · 종료
RaplaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME81.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 84.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +81.8%
VALUE EDGE+81.8%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADEA
Rakvere TarvasAnalysis MetricsRapla
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-16.33 Point MarginHigher is better -3.58
169.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 149.25
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
81.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
18.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rakvere Tarvas
W · 76-59L · 91-63W · 70-76W · 89-65W · 61-109
Rapla
L · 76-59L · 72-76W · 81-104L · 88-67W · 70-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.02.12Rakvere Tarvas59 : 102Rapla
2022.10.12Rapla98 : 64Rakvere Tarvas
2022.03.09Rapla79 : 69Rakvere Tarvas
2021.05.15Rapla84 : 81Rakvere Tarvas
2021.05.14Rakvere Tarvas71 : 74Rapla
2021.05.12Rapla79 : 82Rakvere Tarvas
2021.05.09Rakvere Tarvas73 : 90Rapla
2021.05.08Rapla73 : 77Rakvere Tarvas
2021.04.17Rapla83 : 81Rakvere Tarvas
2021.02.20Rakvere Tarvas72 : 84Rapla