Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Baltic League
Europe
ValgaHOME · -
73 : 692014.11.27 · 종료
Tal TechAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.5%
VALUE EDGE+53.5%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEA
ValgaAnalysis MetricsTal Tech
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-11.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.50
151.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
135.00
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
62.5%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation3.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Valga
L · 71-68L · 92-69L · 80-67W · 99-95L · 86-65
Tal Tech
L · 59-83W · 80-67L · 87-71L · 72-54W · 84-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019.03.24 | Tal Tech | 78 : 66 | Valga |
| 2018.12.16 | Valga | 64 : 87 | Tal Tech |
| 2014.11.27 | Valga | 73 : 69 | Tal Tech |
| 2014.11.08 | Tal Tech | 80 : 67 | Valga |
| 2014.10.09 | Valga | 63 : 80 | Tal Tech |