Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Baltic League
Europe
Barons KvartalsHOME · -
81 : 782014.11.20 · 종료
ParnuAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.4%
VALUE EDGE+74.4%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEA
Barons KvartalsAnalysis MetricsParnu
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+9.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.83
158.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
156.00
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Barons Kvartals
W · 75-90L · 90-71L · 87-104
Parnu
W · 78-68L · 70-80L · 70-74L · 96-63W · 99-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017.01.05 | Barons Kvartals | 94 : 75 | Parnu |
| 2016.01.20 | Parnu | 74 : 73 | Barons Kvartals |
| 2015.11.19 | Barons Kvartals | 73 : 65 | Parnu |
| 2014.12.18 | Parnu | 83 : 71 | Barons Kvartals |
| 2014.11.20 | Barons Kvartals | 81 : 78 | Parnu |