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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe
ParnuHOME · -
78 : 682014.11.13 · 종료
JurmalaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME77.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 78.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +77.3%
VALUE EDGE+77.3%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADEA
ParnuAnalysis MetricsJurmala
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-4.83 Point MarginHigher is better -3.00
156.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 153.83
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
77.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
22.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Parnu
L · 70-80L · 70-74L · 96-63W · 99-70L · 73-71
Jurmala
L · 71-97L · 75-90L · 79-69L · 82-51

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2019.03.18Parnu87 : 72Jurmala
2018.12.16Jurmala89 : 93Parnu
2016.11.30Jurmala61 : 56Parnu
2016.11.02Parnu64 : 72Jurmala
2015.01.14Jurmala72 : 64Parnu
2014.11.13Parnu78 : 68Jurmala