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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe
Tallinna KalevHOME · -
66 : 722014.11.13 · 종료
JekabpilsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 67.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +68.7%
VALUE EDGE+68.7%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEB
Tallinna KalevAnalysis MetricsJekabpils
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-13.83 Point MarginHigher is better -30.17
163.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.67
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
68.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
31.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tallinna Kalev
L · 76-55W · 72-54L · 73-63L · 68-86L · 86-75
Jekabpils
W · 87-71W · 76-68W · 86-65L · 82-55

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2018.12.13Tallinna Kalev85 : 82Jekabpils
2018.09.29Jekabpils54 : 88Tallinna Kalev
2015.01.08Jekabpils78 : 48Tallinna Kalev
2014.11.13Tallinna Kalev66 : 72Jekabpils