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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe
ParnuHOME · -
70 : 802014.10.29 · 종료
BC KalevAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 67.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +67.7%
VALUE EDGE+67.7%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADEA
ParnuAnalysis MetricsBC Kalev
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-4.83 Point MarginHigher is better -0.17
156.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.67
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
13.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
67.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
32.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Parnu
L · 70-74L · 96-63W · 99-70L · 73-71L · 64-68
BC Kalev
W · 90-71W · 82-51W · 96-63L · 69-71W · 94-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.04BC Kalev79 : 78Parnu
2024.04.02Parnu63 : 77BC Kalev
2024.03.30BC Kalev83 : 77Parnu
2024.01.31BC Kalev78 : 77Parnu
2023.11.05Parnu70 : 100BC Kalev
2023.03.19Parnu78 : 83BC Kalev
2023.01.08BC Kalev81 : 70Parnu
2022.05.18BC Kalev73 : 82Parnu
2022.05.17Parnu98 : 70BC Kalev
2022.05.14BC Kalev70 : 91Parnu