Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Baltic League
Europe
JekabpilsHOME · -
86 : 652014.10.23 · 종료
ValgaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME50.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+50.3%
VALUE EDGE+50.3%
FAIR ODDS1.99
GRADEA
JekabpilsAnalysis MetricsValga
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-30.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.42
167.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.08
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.2 / 15
Prediction separation0.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Jekabpils
L · 82-55
Valga
W · 86-75L · 63-80W · 101-76L · 101-95
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019.02.21 | Valga | 59 : 70 | Jekabpils |
| 2018.12.23 | Jekabpils | 61 : 79 | Valga |
| 2014.12.11 | Valga | 63 : 76 | Jekabpils |
| 2014.10.23 | Jekabpils | 86 : 65 | Valga |