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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe
BC KalevHOME · -
82 : 512014.10.16 · 종료
JurmalaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME73.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 73.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +73.8%
VALUE EDGE+73.8%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADEA
BC KalevAnalysis MetricsJurmala
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-0.17 Point MarginHigher is better -3.00
167.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 153.83
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
73.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
26.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BC Kalev
W · 96-63L · 69-71W · 94-63W · 82-76L · 61-57
Jurmala
Collecting Data

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2019.01.24Jurmala66 : 78BC Kalev
2018.12.28BC Kalev103 : 84Jurmala
2014.12.17Jurmala69 : 63BC Kalev
2014.10.16BC Kalev82 : 51Jurmala