경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Ligue 1
France · Regular Season - 5
ToulouseHOME · 1.70
3 : 22026.09.20 · 종료
Le HavreAWAY · 4.78
HOME · 현재 순위
17위
승점 2
· 4경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
16위
승점 2
· 4경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME33.1%
DRAW33.1%
AWAY33.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH87 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME56.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승61.8%표본 102경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승47.7%현재 이동 -2.9%
OPEN → NOW1.75 → 1.70배당 업데이트 2026-09-19 23:33:52
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
ToulouseD · 2-2L · 0-1D · 2-2L · 0-2L · 1-2
Le HavreD · 0-0L · 1-2D · 1-1L · 0-1W · 0-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME53 SNAPSHOTS
-2.69%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW53 SNAPSHOTS
+9.19%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY53 SNAPSHOTS
+2.92%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-18 00:15:23 | 1.75 | 3.66 | 4.64 |
| 2026-09-19 00:12:26 | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| 2026-09-19 00:44:27 | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| 2026-09-19 01:13:19 | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| 2026-09-19 01:43:42 | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| 2026-09-19 02:13:09 | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| 2026-09-19 02:43:42 | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| 2026-09-19 03:12:34 | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| 2026-09-19 03:42:57 | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| 2026-09-19 04:12:22 | 1.72 | 3.75 | 4.58 |
| 2026-09-19 04:12:23 | 1.73 | 3.82 | 4.61 |
| 2026-09-19 04:53:13 | 1.73 | 3.85 | 4.58 |
| 2026-09-19 04:53:14 | 1.73 | 3.89 | 4.58 |
| 2026-09-19 05:33:07 | 1.73 | 3.87 | 4.58 |
| 2026-09-19 06:13:09 | 1.73 | 3.85 | 4.58 |
| 2026-09-19 06:13:10 | 1.73 | 3.89 | 4.58 |
| 2026-09-19 06:52:54 | 1.73 | 3.87 | 4.58 |
| 2026-09-19 07:33:36 | 1.71 | 3.87 | 4.58 |
| 2026-09-19 07:33:37 | 1.74 | 3.88 | 4.60 |
| 2026-09-19 08:13:11 | 1.73 | 3.87 | 4.58 |
| 2026-09-19 08:52:55 | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.54 |
| 2026-09-19 08:52:56 | 1.73 | 3.89 | 4.60 |
| 2026-09-19 09:33:19 | 1.73 | 3.87 | 4.58 |
| 2026-09-19 10:12:33 | 1.73 | 3.87 | 4.58 |
| 2026-09-19 10:52:50 | 1.73 | 3.85 | 4.58 |
| 2026-09-19 10:52:51 | 1.72 | 3.89 | 4.59 |
| 2026-09-19 11:33:59 | 1.72 | 3.91 | 4.60 |
| 2026-09-19 11:34:00 | 1.75 | 3.81 | 4.55 |
| 2026-09-19 12:12:36 | 1.73 | 3.87 | 4.58 |
| 2026-09-19 12:54:45 | 1.73 | 3.87 | 4.58 |
| 2026-09-19 13:33:43 | 1.73 | 3.70 | 4.33 |
| 2026-09-19 13:33:44 | 1.71 | 3.93 | 4.65 |
| 2026-09-19 14:12:50 | 1.71 | 3.90 | 4.61 |
| 2026-09-19 14:54:11 | 1.72 | 3.87 | 4.61 |
| 2026-09-19 14:54:12 | 1.71 | 3.92 | 4.61 |
| 2026-09-19 15:33:35 | 1.71 | 3.90 | 4.61 |
| 2026-09-19 16:14:15 | 1.71 | 3.90 | 4.65 |
| 2026-09-19 16:14:16 | 1.72 | 3.91 | 4.58 |
| 2026-09-19 16:53:59 | 1.72 | 3.89 | 4.62 |
| 2026-09-19 17:35:24 | 1.72 | 3.90 | 4.63 |
| 2026-09-19 17:35:25 | 1.72 | 3.88 | 4.60 |
| 2026-09-19 18:15:17 | 1.72 | 3.89 | 4.62 |
| 2026-09-19 18:54:51 | 1.72 | 3.89 | 4.62 |
| 2026-09-19 19:34:57 | 1.69 | 3.93 | 4.70 |
| 2026-09-19 19:34:58 | 1.73 | 4.13 | 4.94 |
| 2026-09-19 20:14:40 | 1.71 | 3.99 | 4.78 |
| 2026-09-19 20:54:20 | 1.71 | 3.99 | 4.78 |
| 2026-09-19 21:34:13 | 1.70 | 3.83 | 4.63 |
| 2026-09-19 21:34:14 | 1.71 | 4.08 | 4.86 |
| 2026-09-19 22:14:02 | 1.70 | 3.96 | 4.75 |
| 2026-09-19 22:14:03 | 1.75 | 4.16 | 4.93 |
| 2026-09-19 22:54:24 | 1.71 | 3.99 | 4.78 |
| 2026-09-19 23:33:52 | 1.71 | 3.99 | 4.78 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.20 | Toulouse | 3 : 2 | Le Havre |
| 2026.02.15 | Le Havre | 2 : 1 | Toulouse |
| 2025.11.03 | Toulouse | 0 : 0 | Le Havre |
| 2025.02.24 | Le Havre | 1 : 4 | Toulouse |
| 2024.09.16 | Toulouse | 2 : 0 | Le Havre |