경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Ligue 1
France · Regular Season - 3
MarseilleHOME · 1.92
2 : 32026.09.07 · 종료
Paris FCAWAY · 3.95
HOME · 현재 순위
10위
승점 3
· 2경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
7위
승점 4
· 2경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.5%
DRAW20.4%
AWAY15.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH89 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME50.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승54.3%표본 116경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승39.3%현재 이동 +8.8%
OPEN → NOW1.76 → 1.92배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:43:07
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
MarseilleL · 2-0W · 4-0L · 1-2W · 3-1W · 2-1
Paris FCW · 3-0D · 0-0L · 3-2L · 4-0D · 2-2
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME67 SNAPSHOTS
+7.96%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW67 SNAPSHOTS
-4.24%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY67 SNAPSHOTS
-8.76%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-05 00:15:30 | 1.76 | 3.91 | 4.29 |
| 2026-09-05 12:15:34 | 1.78 | 3.88 | 4.32 |
| 2026-09-06 00:03:14 | 1.75 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| 2026-09-06 00:03:15 | 1.81 | 3.92 | 4.17 |
| 2026-09-06 00:33:54 | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-06 01:02:27 | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-06 01:33:08 | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-06 02:02:26 | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-06 02:33:00 | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-06 03:03:07 | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-06 03:03:12 | 1.75 | 3.85 | 4.05 |
| 2026-09-06 03:03:13 | 1.82 | 3.94 | 4.20 |
| 2026-09-06 03:33:12 | 1.80 | 3.91 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-06 04:02:56 | 1.80 | 3.91 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-06 04:33:12 | 1.80 | 3.91 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-06 05:02:54 | 1.80 | 3.91 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-06 05:33:18 | 1.80 | 3.91 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-06 06:02:53 | 1.80 | 3.91 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-06 06:33:23 | 1.75 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| 2026-09-06 06:33:24 | 1.81 | 3.95 | 4.18 |
| 2026-09-06 07:03:12 | 1.80 | 3.91 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-06 07:33:30 | 1.77 | 3.86 | 4.10 |
| 2026-09-06 07:33:31 | 1.86 | 4.01 | 4.25 |
| 2026-09-06 08:02:54 | 1.80 | 3.91 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-06 08:33:43 | 1.77 | 3.86 | 4.10 |
| 2026-09-06 08:33:44 | 1.86 | 4.01 | 4.25 |
| 2026-09-06 09:02:46 | 1.77 | 3.85 | 4.10 |
| 2026-09-06 09:02:47 | 1.86 | 4.00 | 4.25 |
| 2026-09-06 09:33:32 | 1.75 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| 2026-09-06 09:33:33 | 1.81 | 3.94 | 4.18 |
| 2026-09-06 10:02:27 | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-06 10:33:13 | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-06 11:03:07 | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-06 11:33:39 | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-06 12:02:46 | 1.80 | 3.91 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-06 12:34:01 | 1.80 | 3.91 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-06 13:02:52 | 1.75 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| 2026-09-06 13:02:53 | 1.81 | 3.95 | 4.17 |
| 2026-09-06 13:33:34 | 1.80 | 3.91 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-06 14:03:41 | 1.80 | 3.91 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-06 14:33:12 | 1.80 | 3.91 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-06 15:03:42 | 1.89 | 3.75 | 3.92 |
| 2026-09-06 15:32:49 | 1.89 | 3.75 | 3.92 |
| 2026-09-06 16:03:39 | 1.88 | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| 2026-09-06 16:03:40 | 1.90 | 3.78 | 3.98 |
| 2026-09-06 16:33:46 | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| 2026-09-06 16:33:47 | 1.90 | 3.80 | 3.92 |
| 2026-09-06 17:03:12 | 1.89 | 3.75 | 3.92 |
| 2026-09-06 17:34:06 | 1.88 | 3.71 | 3.85 |
| 2026-09-06 17:34:07 | 1.93 | 3.84 | 4.05 |
| 2026-09-06 18:03:14 | 1.90 | 3.72 | 3.87 |
| 2026-09-06 18:35:03 | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| 2026-09-06 18:35:04 | 1.91 | 3.76 | 3.88 |
| 2026-09-06 19:13:33 | 1.89 | 3.69 | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-06 19:13:34 | 1.95 | 3.86 | 4.11 |
| 2026-09-06 19:55:29 | 1.88 | 3.68 | 3.79 |
| 2026-09-06 19:55:30 | 1.95 | 3.81 | 4.02 |
| 2026-09-06 20:33:36 | 1.88 | 3.65 | 3.70 |
| 2026-09-06 20:33:37 | 1.92 | 3.76 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-06 21:13:27 | 1.90 | 3.72 | 3.86 |
| 2026-09-06 21:13:28 | 1.94 | 3.86 | 4.16 |
| 2026-09-06 21:43:25 | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| 2026-09-06 21:43:26 | 1.91 | 3.79 | 3.94 |
| 2026-09-06 22:13:59 | 1.90 | 3.74 | 3.91 |
| 2026-09-06 22:43:28 | 1.90 | 3.74 | 3.91 |
| 2026-09-06 23:13:29 | 1.90 | 3.74 | 3.91 |
| 2026-09-06 23:43:07 | 1.90 | 3.74 | 3.91 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.07 | Marseille | 2 : 3 | Paris FC |
| 2026.02.01 | Paris FC | 2 : 2 | Marseille |
| 2025.08.24 | Marseille | 5 : 2 | Paris FC |