경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Ligue 1
France · Regular Season - 3

Estac TroyesHOME · 2.93
2 : 62026.09.06 · 종료
StrasbourgAWAY · 2.43

HOME · 현재 순위
7위
승점 4
· 2경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
12위
승점 3
· 2경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME84.6%
DRAW8.6%
AWAY6.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH79 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME32.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승28.6%표본 84경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승48.4%현재 이동 -5.5%
OPEN → NOW3.10 → 2.93배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:43:07
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Estac TroyesW · 1-2D · 0-0D · 1-1D · 1-1W · 5-2
StrasbourgW · 2-1L · 4-0D · 1-1L · 2-0L · 2-5
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME65 SNAPSHOTS
-4.59%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW65 SNAPSHOTS
+2.11%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY65 SNAPSHOTS
+4.90%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-05 00:15:30 | 3.05 | 3.38 | 2.31 |
| 2026-09-05 12:15:34 | 3.08 | 3.40 | 2.31 |
| 2026-09-06 00:03:15 | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.38 |
| 2026-09-06 00:33:54 | 3.01 | 3.38 | 2.36 |
| 2026-09-06 00:33:55 | 2.98 | 3.43 | 2.40 |
| 2026-09-06 01:02:27 | 2.99 | 3.41 | 2.38 |
| 2026-09-06 01:33:08 | 2.98 | 3.36 | 2.34 |
| 2026-09-06 01:33:09 | 3.03 | 3.50 | 2.45 |
| 2026-09-06 02:02:26 | 2.99 | 3.41 | 2.38 |
| 2026-09-06 02:33:00 | 2.98 | 3.38 | 2.36 |
| 2026-09-06 02:33:01 | 3.06 | 3.54 | 2.46 |
| 2026-09-06 03:03:07 | 2.98 | 3.38 | 2.36 |
| 2026-09-06 03:03:08 | 3.06 | 3.54 | 2.46 |
| 2026-09-06 03:03:13 | 3.00 | 3.39 | 2.38 |
| 2026-09-06 03:33:12 | 3.00 | 3.39 | 2.38 |
| 2026-09-06 04:02:56 | 3.00 | 3.39 | 2.38 |
| 2026-09-06 04:33:12 | 3.00 | 3.39 | 2.38 |
| 2026-09-06 05:02:54 | 3.00 | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| 2026-09-06 05:02:55 | 3.00 | 3.43 | 2.41 |
| 2026-09-06 05:33:18 | 3.00 | 3.39 | 2.38 |
| 2026-09-06 06:02:53 | 3.00 | 3.39 | 2.38 |
| 2026-09-06 06:33:24 | 3.00 | 3.39 | 2.38 |
| 2026-09-06 07:03:12 | 3.00 | 3.39 | 2.38 |
| 2026-09-06 07:33:31 | 3.00 | 3.39 | 2.38 |
| 2026-09-06 08:02:54 | 3.00 | 3.39 | 2.38 |
| 2026-09-06 08:33:44 | 3.00 | 3.39 | 2.38 |
| 2026-09-06 09:02:47 | 2.98 | 3.41 | 2.38 |
| 2026-09-06 09:33:33 | 2.98 | 3.41 | 2.38 |
| 2026-09-06 10:02:27 | 2.95 | 3.36 | 2.35 |
| 2026-09-06 10:02:28 | 3.03 | 3.51 | 2.45 |
| 2026-09-06 10:33:13 | 2.98 | 3.41 | 2.38 |
| 2026-09-06 11:03:07 | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.30 |
| 2026-09-06 11:03:08 | 2.99 | 3.44 | 2.40 |
| 2026-09-06 11:33:39 | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.30 |
| 2026-09-06 11:33:40 | 2.99 | 3.44 | 2.40 |
| 2026-09-06 12:02:46 | 2.99 | 3.42 | 2.39 |
| 2026-09-06 12:34:02 | 2.99 | 3.42 | 2.39 |
| 2026-09-06 13:02:53 | 2.99 | 3.42 | 2.39 |
| 2026-09-06 13:33:34 | 2.99 | 3.42 | 2.39 |
| 2026-09-06 14:03:41 | 2.99 | 3.42 | 2.39 |
| 2026-09-06 14:33:12 | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.30 |
| 2026-09-06 14:33:13 | 3.01 | 3.46 | 2.41 |
| 2026-09-06 15:03:44 | 2.87 | 3.50 | 2.39 |
| 2026-09-06 15:03:45 | 3.02 | 3.60 | 2.46 |
| 2026-09-06 15:32:50 | 2.90 | 3.52 | 2.41 |
| 2026-09-06 16:03:41 | 2.90 | 3.52 | 2.41 |
| 2026-09-06 16:33:48 | 2.90 | 3.52 | 2.41 |
| 2026-09-06 17:03:13 | 2.90 | 3.52 | 2.41 |
| 2026-09-06 17:34:08 | 2.90 | 3.52 | 2.41 |
| 2026-09-06 18:03:14 | 2.97 | 3.46 | 2.36 |
| 2026-09-06 18:03:15 | 3.11 | 3.58 | 2.41 |
| 2026-09-06 18:35:04 | 2.90 | 3.38 | 2.35 |
| 2026-09-06 18:35:05 | 3.05 | 3.53 | 2.37 |
| 2026-09-06 19:13:34 | 3.00 | 3.48 | 2.37 |
| 2026-09-06 19:55:30 | 3.00 | 3.48 | 2.37 |
| 2026-09-06 20:33:37 | 2.93 | 3.44 | 2.37 |
| 2026-09-06 20:33:38 | 3.14 | 3.55 | 2.36 |
| 2026-09-06 21:13:28 | 2.91 | 3.45 | 2.42 |
| 2026-09-06 21:43:26 | 2.91 | 3.45 | 2.42 |
| 2026-09-06 22:13:59 | 2.91 | 3.45 | 2.42 |
| 2026-09-06 22:43:28 | 2.89 | 3.39 | 2.39 |
| 2026-09-06 22:43:29 | 2.93 | 3.50 | 2.46 |
| 2026-09-06 23:13:29 | 2.85 | 3.35 | 2.35 |
| 2026-09-06 23:13:30 | 2.94 | 3.50 | 2.46 |
| 2026-09-06 23:43:07 | 2.91 | 3.45 | 2.42 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.06 | Estac Troyes | 2 : 6 | Strasbourg |