경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Ligue 1 France · Regular Season - 3

LyonHOME · 1.43

3 : 12026.09.05 · 종료

AuxerreAWAY · 7.00

HOME · 현재 순위 4위 승점 4 · 2경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 18위 승점 0 · 2경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.6%

DRAW17.4%

AWAY17.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH90 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 92/100

AI PICK HOME 46.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +3.4%

VALUE EDGE+3.4%

FAIR ODDS5.89

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 93/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +21.5%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +25.0%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +11.9%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE

Lyon분석 지표Auxerre

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%

1.50 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.92

1.08 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.58

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

5.9일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.9일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

90/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지18.5 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본5.5 / 10

모델 일치도11.2 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME66.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승78.0%표본 59경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 3경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승48.5%현재 이동 -5.9%

OPEN → NOW1.52 → 1.43배당 업데이트 2026-09-04 23:52:24

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

65.6%

DRAW

17.4%

AWAY

17.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Lyon

D · 1-1L · 1-2W · 0-2D · 1-1W · 3-0

Auxerre

L · 1-3L · 5-2W · 0-1D · 1-1D · 1-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.52

→

CURRENT1.45

-4.72%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.34

→

CURRENT4.68

+7.79%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN6.01

→

CURRENT6.74

+12.11%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-04 01:32:20	1.52	4.34	6.01
2026-09-04 02:32:21	1.50	4.23	6.02
2026-09-04 02:32:22	1.52	4.37	5.91
2026-09-04 02:42:20	1.52	4.34	5.94
2026-09-04 02:52:23	1.52	4.34	5.94
2026-09-04 03:02:21	1.52	4.34	5.94
2026-09-04 03:12:21	1.52	4.34	5.94
2026-09-04 03:22:23	1.52	4.34	5.94
2026-09-04 03:32:21	1.52	4.34	5.94
2026-09-04 03:42:20	1.52	4.34	5.94
2026-09-04 03:52:22	1.52	4.34	5.94
2026-09-04 04:12:20	1.52	4.34	5.94
2026-09-04 04:32:20	1.52	4.34	5.94
2026-09-04 04:52:23	1.52	4.34	5.94
2026-09-04 05:12:20	1.52	4.34	5.94
2026-09-04 05:32:21	1.52	4.34	5.94
2026-09-04 05:52:22	1.52	4.34	5.94
2026-09-04 06:12:20	1.52	4.34	5.94
2026-09-04 06:32:22	1.52	4.34	5.94
2026-09-04 06:52:23	1.52	4.34	5.94
2026-09-04 07:12:22	1.52	4.34	5.94
2026-09-04 07:32:19	1.52	4.34	5.94
2026-09-04 07:52:22	1.52	4.34	5.94
2026-09-04 08:12:22	1.52	4.34	5.94
2026-09-04 08:32:23	1.51	4.39	6.13
2026-09-04 08:52:24	1.51	4.39	6.13
2026-09-04 09:12:22	1.50	4.32	6.28
2026-09-04 09:12:23	1.52	4.45	6.00
2026-09-04 09:32:23	1.51	4.39	6.13
2026-09-04 09:52:23	1.51	4.39	6.13
2026-09-04 10:12:20	1.51	4.39	6.13
2026-09-04 10:32:22	1.50	4.25	5.90
2026-09-04 10:32:23	1.51	4.41	6.17
2026-09-04 10:52:22	1.51	4.39	6.13
2026-09-04 11:12:21	1.51	4.39	6.13
2026-09-04 11:32:21	1.50	4.34	6.27
2026-09-04 11:32:22	1.50	4.49	6.15
2026-09-04 11:52:22	1.50	4.42	6.20
2026-09-04 12:12:21	1.50	4.42	6.20
2026-09-04 12:32:23	1.49	4.37	6.25
2026-09-04 12:32:24	1.51	4.50	6.13
2026-09-04 12:52:22	1.50	4.42	6.20
2026-09-04 13:12:21	1.50	4.42	6.20
2026-09-04 13:32:20	1.50	4.42	6.20
2026-09-04 13:52:23	1.50	4.42	6.20
2026-09-04 14:12:19	1.50	4.33	6.12
2026-09-04 14:12:20	1.50	4.48	6.26
2026-09-04 14:32:22	1.50	4.43	6.19
2026-09-04 14:52:22	1.50	4.40	6.19
2026-09-04 14:52:23	1.51	4.70	6.20
2026-09-04 15:12:21	1.50	4.43	6.19
2026-09-04 15:32:23	1.50	4.43	6.19
2026-09-04 15:52:23	1.50	4.43	6.19
2026-09-04 16:12:20	1.50	4.43	6.19
2026-09-04 16:32:22	1.50	4.40	6.19
2026-09-04 16:32:23	1.51	4.70	6.20
2026-09-04 16:52:21	1.49	4.35	6.15
2026-09-04 16:52:22	1.50	4.48	6.21
2026-09-04 17:12:22	1.50	4.43	6.19
2026-09-04 17:32:23	1.49	4.44	6.30
2026-09-04 17:52:25	1.49	4.44	6.30
2026-09-04 18:12:21	1.49	4.44	6.30
2026-09-04 18:32:24	1.49	4.44	6.30
2026-09-04 18:52:24	1.49	4.44	6.30
2026-09-04 19:12:22	1.50	4.28	5.90
2026-09-04 19:12:23	1.49	4.47	6.37
2026-09-04 19:32:21	1.49	4.44	6.30
2026-09-04 19:52:24	1.49	4.44	6.30
2026-09-04 20:12:21	1.49	4.44	6.30
2026-09-04 20:32:24	1.46	4.52	6.66
2026-09-04 20:52:23	1.46	4.52	6.66
2026-09-04 21:12:22	1.46	4.52	6.66
2026-09-04 21:32:22	1.46	4.52	6.66
2026-09-04 21:52:23	1.46	4.52	6.66
2026-09-04 22:12:22	1.46	4.52	6.66
2026-09-04 22:32:23	1.46	4.52	6.66
2026-09-04 22:52:25	1.46	4.52	6.66
2026-09-04 23:12:26	1.46	4.52	6.66
2026-09-04 23:32:22	1.45	4.68	6.74
2026-09-04 23:52:24	1.45	4.68	6.74

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.05	Lyon	3 : 1	Auxerre
2026.04.25	Lyon	3 : 2	Auxerre
2025.11.23	Auxerre	0 : 0	Lyon
2025.04.14	Auxerre	1 : 3	Lyon
2024.10.27	Lyon	2 : 2	Auxerre

부상 / 결장

A. DiousseAuxerre · Knee Injury

Missing Fixture

A. TuanzebeAuxerre · Lacking Match Fitness

Missing Fixture

B. OkohAuxerre · Knee Injury

Missing Fixture

F. OppegardAuxerre · Illness

Missing Fixture

F. SierraltaAuxerre · Injury

Missing Fixture

M. SenayaAuxerre · Injury

Missing Fixture

S. FofanaAuxerre · Groin Injury

Missing Fixture

A. Gomes RodriguezLyon · Inactive

Missing Fixture

A. HamdaniLyon · Inactive

Missing Fixture

J. DuranvilleLyon · Muscle Injury

Missing Fixture

K. NakamuraLyon · Coach's decision

Missing Fixture

M. de CarvalhoLyon · Inactive

Missing Fixture

M. OuedraogoLyon · Inactive

Missing Fixture

N. KamaraLyon · Inactive

Missing Fixture

S. KangoLyon · Inactive

Missing Fixture

경기 통계

경기 통계가 아직 없습니다. 경기 전/라이브 coverage에 따라 수집됩니다.

분석 주의사항

표본 수가 작을 때 역사적 승률은 모델에서 자동으로 낮은 가중치를 받습니다. 현재 확률은 확정 결과가 아니라 시장 데이터와 누적 경기 결과를 결합한 분석값입니다.