경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Ligue 1
France · Regular Season - 3

ToulouseHOME · 3.90
0 : 12026.09.04 · 종료
LilleAWAY · 1.95

HOME · 현재 순위
16위
승점 1
· 2경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
3위
승점 4
· 2경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME7.9%
DRAW16.0%
AWAY76.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH87 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME24.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승22.2%표본 27경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승33.6%현재 이동 +14.7%
OPEN → NOW3.40 → 3.90배당 업데이트 2026-09-03 23:52:06
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
ToulouseD · 2-2L · 0-2L · 1-2W · 2-1D · 1-1
LilleD · 2-2W · 0-2D · 1-1D · 2-2W · 3-6
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME80 SNAPSHOTS
+13.55%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS
+3.52%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS
-8.24%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-03 12:12:06 | 3.35 | 3.30 | 2.19 |
| 2026-09-03 12:22:05 | 3.66 | 3.35 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 12:22:06 | 3.54 | 3.34 | 2.14 |
| 2026-09-03 12:32:06 | 3.61 | 3.35 | 2.09 |
| 2026-09-03 12:42:05 | 3.61 | 3.35 | 2.09 |
| 2026-09-03 12:52:05 | 3.61 | 3.35 | 2.09 |
| 2026-09-03 13:02:06 | 3.61 | 3.35 | 2.09 |
| 2026-09-03 13:12:05 | 3.61 | 3.35 | 2.09 |
| 2026-09-03 13:22:05 | 3.61 | 3.35 | 2.09 |
| 2026-09-03 13:32:05 | 3.61 | 3.35 | 2.09 |
| 2026-09-03 13:42:06 | 3.61 | 3.35 | 2.09 |
| 2026-09-03 13:52:06 | 3.61 | 3.35 | 2.09 |
| 2026-09-03 14:02:05 | 3.48 | 3.30 | 2.07 |
| 2026-09-03 14:02:06 | 3.63 | 3.36 | 2.10 |
| 2026-09-03 14:12:05 | 3.61 | 3.35 | 2.09 |
| 2026-09-03 14:22:06 | 3.61 | 3.35 | 2.09 |
| 2026-09-03 14:32:05 | 3.61 | 3.35 | 2.09 |
| 2026-09-03 14:42:05 | 3.61 | 3.35 | 2.09 |
| 2026-09-03 14:52:06 | 3.61 | 3.35 | 2.09 |
| 2026-09-03 15:02:05 | 3.61 | 3.35 | 2.09 |
| 2026-09-03 15:12:05 | 3.61 | 3.35 | 2.09 |
| 2026-09-03 15:22:06 | 3.68 | 3.39 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 15:32:06 | 3.68 | 3.39 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 15:42:05 | 3.68 | 3.39 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 15:52:06 | 3.68 | 3.39 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 16:02:06 | 3.68 | 3.39 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 16:12:04 | 3.68 | 3.39 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 16:22:04 | 3.77 | 3.44 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-03 16:22:05 | 3.64 | 3.36 | 2.07 |
| 2026-09-03 16:32:05 | 3.68 | 3.39 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 16:42:05 | 3.68 | 3.39 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 16:52:05 | 3.68 | 3.39 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 17:02:05 | 3.68 | 3.39 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 17:12:05 | 3.68 | 3.39 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 17:22:06 | 3.68 | 3.39 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 17:32:06 | 3.68 | 3.39 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 17:42:05 | 3.68 | 3.39 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 17:52:05 | 3.72 | 3.39 | 2.02 |
| 2026-09-03 17:52:06 | 3.55 | 3.37 | 2.15 |
| 2026-09-03 18:02:05 | 3.68 | 3.39 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 18:12:05 | 3.68 | 3.39 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 18:22:05 | 3.69 | 3.42 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 18:32:06 | 3.69 | 3.42 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 18:42:04 | 3.69 | 3.42 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 18:52:06 | 3.69 | 3.42 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 19:02:05 | 3.69 | 3.42 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 19:12:05 | 3.69 | 3.42 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 19:22:05 | 3.71 | 3.43 | 2.03 |
| 2026-09-03 19:22:06 | 3.40 | 3.35 | 2.24 |
| 2026-09-03 19:32:06 | 3.69 | 3.42 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 19:42:04 | 3.68 | 3.38 | 1.99 |
| 2026-09-03 19:42:05 | 3.69 | 3.43 | 2.06 |
| 2026-09-03 19:52:06 | 3.69 | 3.42 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 20:02:05 | 3.69 | 3.42 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 20:12:04 | 3.69 | 3.42 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 20:22:05 | 3.69 | 3.42 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 20:32:04 | 3.78 | 3.44 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-03 20:32:05 | 3.65 | 3.41 | 2.07 |
| 2026-09-03 20:42:05 | 3.69 | 3.42 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 20:52:06 | 3.69 | 3.42 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 21:02:05 | 3.69 | 3.42 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 21:12:05 | 3.69 | 3.42 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-03 21:22:06 | 3.81 | 3.42 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-03 21:32:05 | 3.81 | 3.42 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-03 21:42:05 | 3.81 | 3.42 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-03 21:52:05 | 3.91 | 3.44 | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-03 21:52:06 | 3.72 | 3.40 | 2.07 |
| 2026-09-03 22:02:05 | 3.81 | 3.42 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-03 22:12:04 | 3.87 | 3.42 | 1.93 |
| 2026-09-03 22:12:05 | 3.79 | 3.42 | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-03 22:22:07 | 3.81 | 3.42 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-03 22:32:08 | 3.81 | 3.42 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-03 22:52:05 | 3.81 | 3.42 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-03 23:02:08 | 3.92 | 3.44 | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-03 23:02:09 | 3.68 | 3.40 | 2.09 |
| 2026-09-03 23:12:06 | 3.81 | 3.42 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-03 23:22:11 | 3.81 | 3.42 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-03 23:32:06 | 3.81 | 3.42 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-03 23:42:05 | 3.81 | 3.42 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-03 23:52:06 | 3.81 | 3.42 | 2.01 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.04 | Toulouse | 0 : 1 | Lille |
| 2026.04.13 | Toulouse | 0 : 4 | Lille |
| 2025.09.14 | Lille | 2 : 1 | Toulouse |
| 2025.04.13 | Toulouse | 1 : 2 | Lille |
| 2024.10.06 | Lille | 2 : 1 | Toulouse |