경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Eredivisie Netherlands · Regular Season - 3

AjaxHOME · 1.10

5 : 12026.09.16 · 종료

Willem IIAWAY · 19.50

HOME · 현재 순위 5위 승점 10 · 5경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 17위 승점 2 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME90.6%

DRAW7.3%

AWAY2.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH87 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 69.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +4.7%

VALUE EDGE+4.7%

FAIR ODDS1.10

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +48.7%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +52.8%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +25.5%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +21.1%p

INJURIES HOME +3.6%p

Ajax분석 지표Willem II

66.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

3.08 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.17

1.50 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.08

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

3.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

87/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도10.4 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME85.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승100.0%표본 8경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승48.6%현재 이동 -5.6%

OPEN → NOW1.17 → 1.10배당 업데이트 2026-09-15 23:52:04

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

90.6%

DRAW

7.3%

AWAY

2.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Ajax

W · 1-5L · 1-3W · 0-4W · 5-3W · 2-4

Willem II

D · 1-1L · 0-3D · 2-2L · 1-4L · 4-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.11

→

CURRENT1.10

-1.10%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN9.37

→

CURRENT10.24

+9.27%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN17.17

→

CURRENT18.79

+9.42%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-15 11:52:04	1.11	9.37	17.17
2026-09-15 12:02:04	1.11	9.37	17.17
2026-09-15 12:12:04	1.11	9.37	17.17
2026-09-15 12:22:05	1.11	9.37	17.17
2026-09-15 12:32:05	1.11	9.37	17.17
2026-09-15 12:42:04	1.11	9.37	17.17
2026-09-15 12:52:04	1.11	9.37	17.17
2026-09-15 13:02:04	1.11	9.37	17.17
2026-09-15 13:12:04	1.11	9.34	17.07
2026-09-15 13:12:05	1.12	9.43	17.36
2026-09-15 13:22:05	1.11	9.37	17.17
2026-09-15 13:32:05	1.11	9.37	17.17
2026-09-15 13:42:05	1.11	9.37	17.17
2026-09-15 13:52:04	1.11	9.06	17.15
2026-09-15 13:52:05	1.12	9.76	17.19
2026-09-15 14:02:04	1.11	9.37	17.17
2026-09-15 14:12:04	1.11	9.37	17.17
2026-09-15 14:22:05	1.11	9.37	17.17
2026-09-15 14:32:05	1.11	9.37	17.17
2026-09-15 14:42:05	1.11	9.37	17.17
2026-09-15 14:52:05	1.11	9.08	16.22
2026-09-15 14:52:06	1.13	10.38	20.50
2026-09-15 15:02:04	1.11	9.37	17.17
2026-09-15 15:12:05	1.11	9.37	17.17
2026-09-15 15:22:05	1.11	9.37	17.17
2026-09-15 15:32:04	1.11	9.37	17.17
2026-09-15 15:42:05	1.11	9.37	17.17
2026-09-15 15:52:05	1.11	9.37	17.17
2026-09-15 16:02:04	1.11	10.02	17.23
2026-09-15 16:12:04	1.11	10.02	17.23
2026-09-15 16:22:05	1.11	10.02	17.23
2026-09-15 16:32:04	1.10	10.03	17.34
2026-09-15 16:32:05	1.12	10.00	17.00
2026-09-15 16:42:05	1.11	10.02	17.23
2026-09-15 16:52:05	1.11	10.02	17.23
2026-09-15 17:02:05	1.11	10.02	17.23
2026-09-15 17:12:04	1.11	10.02	17.23
2026-09-15 17:22:04	1.11	10.02	17.23
2026-09-15 17:32:05	1.11	10.02	17.23
2026-09-15 17:42:05	1.11	10.02	17.23
2026-09-15 17:52:05	1.11	10.02	17.23
2026-09-15 18:02:06	1.11	10.02	17.23
2026-09-15 18:12:04	1.11	10.02	17.23
2026-09-15 18:22:05	1.10	10.03	17.34
2026-09-15 18:22:06	1.12	10.00	17.00
2026-09-15 18:32:04	1.11	10.02	17.23
2026-09-15 18:42:05	1.11	10.02	17.23
2026-09-15 18:52:05	1.11	10.02	17.23
2026-09-15 19:02:04	1.11	9.78	17.46
2026-09-15 19:12:04	1.11	9.78	17.46
2026-09-15 19:22:04	1.11	9.78	17.46
2026-09-15 19:32:05	1.11	9.78	17.46
2026-09-15 19:42:04	1.12	9.00	17.00
2026-09-15 19:42:05	1.11	10.01	17.59
2026-09-15 19:52:05	1.11	9.78	17.46
2026-09-15 20:02:04	1.11	9.78	17.46
2026-09-15 20:12:04	1.11	9.78	17.46
2026-09-15 20:22:04	1.11	9.50	17.00
2026-09-15 20:22:05	1.11	9.82	17.52
2026-09-15 20:32:05	1.11	9.78	17.46
2026-09-15 20:42:04	1.11	9.78	17.46
2026-09-15 20:52:04	1.11	9.78	17.46
2026-09-15 21:02:04	1.11	9.78	17.46
2026-09-15 21:12:04	1.11	9.78	17.46
2026-09-15 21:22:05	1.11	9.78	17.46
2026-09-15 21:32:04	1.11	9.78	17.46
2026-09-15 21:42:05	1.11	9.78	17.46
2026-09-15 21:52:05	1.11	9.78	17.46
2026-09-15 22:02:04	1.10	10.24	18.79
2026-09-15 22:12:05	1.10	10.24	18.79
2026-09-15 22:22:05	1.10	10.24	18.79
2026-09-15 22:32:05	1.10	10.24	18.79
2026-09-15 22:42:05	1.10	10.24	18.79
2026-09-15 22:52:05	1.10	10.24	18.79
2026-09-15 23:02:04	1.10	10.24	18.79
2026-09-15 23:12:05	1.10	10.24	18.79
2026-09-15 23:22:04	1.10	10.24	18.79
2026-09-15 23:32:03	1.10	10.24	18.79
2026-09-15 23:42:05	1.10	10.24	18.79
2026-09-15 23:52:04	1.10	10.24	18.79

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.16	Ajax	5 : 1	Willem II
2025.04.13	Willem II	1 : 2	Ajax
2024.10.28	Ajax	1 : 0	Willem II