LIVE 198 오늘 996경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기
Eredivisie Netherlands · Regular Season - 6
ExcelsiorHOME · 2.07
1 : 22026.09.13 · 종료
UtrechtAWAY · 3.20
HOME · 현재 순위 6위 승점 10 · 5경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 16위 승점 2 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME60.4%
DRAW22.0%
AWAY17.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH91 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100
AI PICK HOME 46.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +14.8%
VALUE EDGE+14.8%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADES
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +10.4%p
HOME_AWAY AWAY -2.8%p
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
STANDING_PPG HOME +23.8%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +9.2%p
INJURIES HOME +5.4%p
Excelsior분석 지표Utrecht
75.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 8.3%
2.92 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.17
1.33 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.58
66.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%
4.7일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.9일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

91/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본10.0 / 10
모델 일치도13.1 / 15
예측 분리도15.0 / 15
데이터 신선도10.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME45.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승48.9%표본 221경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승48.4%현재 이동 -5.9%
OPEN → NOW2.20 → 2.07배당 업데이트 2026-09-13 23:44:28

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
60.4%
DRAW
22.0%
AWAY
17.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Excelsior
D · 2-2W · 0-3W · 2-1L · 1-2W · 0-4
Utrecht
D · 3-3L · 1-6D · 3-3L · 1-4L · 2-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+8.0%+4.0%0.0%-4.0%-8.0%09/12 00:1509/13 06:1209/13 11:4209/13 17:5409/13 23:44HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 00:15:21HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-13 00:12:47HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +0.46% · 2026-09-13 00:44:33HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.34% · 2026-09-13 00:44:34HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-13 01:13:39HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-13 01:44:09HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-13 03:12:46HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-13 03:43:38HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-13 04:12:29HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-13 04:42:48HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +0.46% · 2026-09-13 05:13:41HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.34% · 2026-09-13 05:13:42HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +0.46% · 2026-09-13 05:43:39HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.46% · 2026-09-13 05:43:40HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-13 06:12:40HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.46% · 2026-09-13 06:44:57HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 -0.09% · 2026-09-13 06:44:58HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-13 07:13:09HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-13 07:43:15HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-13 08:13:12HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-13 08:43:38HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.38% · 2026-09-13 08:43:39HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-13 09:12:31HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +0.46% · 2026-09-13 09:43:27HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.46% · 2026-09-13 09:43:28HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-13 10:12:32HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-13 10:42:43HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-13 11:13:24HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.25% · 2026-09-13 11:42:44HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +0.56% · 2026-09-13 12:12:43HOME · 배당 2.21 · 변동 +0.91% · 2026-09-13 12:44:32HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 -0.15% · 2026-09-13 12:44:33HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +0.56% · 2026-09-13 13:12:32HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +0.56% · 2026-09-13 13:42:46HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +0.56% · 2026-09-13 14:12:46HOME · 배당 2.23 · 변동 +1.60% · 2026-09-13 14:44:12HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +0.26% · 2026-09-13 14:44:13HOME · 배당 2.17 · 변동 -0.91% · 2026-09-13 15:12:31HOME · 배당 2.17 · 변동 -0.91% · 2026-09-13 15:53:31HOME · 배당 2.16 · 변동 -1.37% · 2026-09-13 16:34:59HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.34% · 2026-09-13 16:35:00HOME · 배당 2.17 · 변동 -0.91% · 2026-09-13 17:14:06HOME · 배당 2.17 · 변동 -1.14% · 2026-09-13 17:54:06HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-13 17:54:07HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.68% · 2026-09-13 18:35:46HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.46% · 2026-09-13 18:35:47HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.51% · 2026-09-13 19:13:48HOME · 배당 2.16 · 변동 -1.28% · 2026-09-13 19:54:47HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +0.46% · 2026-09-13 19:54:48HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -0.51% · 2026-09-13 20:34:24HOME · 배당 2.07 · 변동 -5.53% · 2026-09-13 21:13:22HOME · 배당 2.07 · 변동 -5.53% · 2026-09-13 21:44:23HOME · 배당 2.05 · 변동 -6.39% · 2026-09-13 22:13:39HOME · 배당 2.07 · 변동 -5.42% · 2026-09-13 22:13:40HOME · 배당 2.07 · 변동 -5.53% · 2026-09-13 22:45:03HOME · 배당 2.07 · 변동 -5.53% · 2026-09-13 23:12:34HOME · 배당 2.07 · 변동 -5.53% · 2026-09-13 23:44:28DRAW · 배당 3.70 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 00:15:21DRAW · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -1.29% · 2026-09-13 00:12:47DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -5.41% · 2026-09-13 00:44:33DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -0.78% · 2026-09-13 00:44:34DRAW · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -1.29% · 2026-09-13 01:13:39DRAW · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -1.29% · 2026-09-13 01:44:09DRAW · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -1.29% · 2026-09-13 03:12:46DRAW · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -1.29% · 2026-09-13 03:43:38DRAW · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -1.29% · 2026-09-13 04:12:29DRAW · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -1.29% · 2026-09-13 04:42:48DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -5.41% · 2026-09-13 05:13:41DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -0.78% · 2026-09-13 05:13:42DRAW · 배당 3.63 · 변동 -2.03% · 2026-09-13 05:43:39DRAW · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -1.08% · 2026-09-13 05:43:40DRAW · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -1.29% · 2026-09-13 06:12:40DRAW · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -1.42% · 2026-09-13 06:44:57DRAW · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -1.19% · 2026-09-13 06:44:58DRAW · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -1.29% · 2026-09-13 07:13:09DRAW · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -1.29% · 2026-09-13 07:43:15DRAW · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -1.29% · 2026-09-13 08:13:12DRAW · 배당 3.63 · 변동 -1.89% · 2026-09-13 08:43:38DRAW · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -0.99% · 2026-09-13 08:43:39DRAW · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -1.08% · 2026-09-13 09:12:31DRAW · 배당 3.63 · 변동 -2.03% · 2026-09-13 09:43:27DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -0.81% · 2026-09-13 09:43:28DRAW · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -1.08% · 2026-09-13 10:12:32DRAW · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -1.08% · 2026-09-13 10:42:43DRAW · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -1.08% · 2026-09-13 11:13:24DRAW · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -1.08% · 2026-09-13 11:42:44DRAW · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -1.29% · 2026-09-13 12:12:43DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -0.72% · 2026-09-13 12:44:32DRAW · 배당 3.61 · 변동 -2.43% · 2026-09-13 12:44:33DRAW · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -1.29% · 2026-09-13 13:12:32DRAW · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -1.29% · 2026-09-13 13:42:46DRAW · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -1.29% · 2026-09-13 14:12:46DRAW · 배당 3.63 · 변동 -2.03% · 2026-09-13 14:44:12DRAW · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -1.08% · 2026-09-13 14:44:13DRAW · 배당 3.68 · 변동 -0.51% · 2026-09-13 15:12:31DRAW · 배당 3.68 · 변동 -0.51% · 2026-09-13 15:53:31DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -0.70% · 2026-09-13 16:34:59DRAW · 배당 3.69 · 변동 -0.27% · 2026-09-13 16:35:00DRAW · 배당 3.68 · 변동 -0.51% · 2026-09-13 17:14:06DRAW · 배당 3.64 · 변동 -1.69% · 2026-09-13 17:54:06DRAW · 배당 3.68 · 변동 -0.49% · 2026-09-13 17:54:07DRAW · 배당 3.63 · 변동 -2.03% · 2026-09-13 18:35:46DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -0.73% · 2026-09-13 18:35:47DRAW · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-13 19:13:48DRAW · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -1.08% · 2026-09-13 19:54:47DRAW · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -0.95% · 2026-09-13 19:54:48DRAW · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-13 20:34:24DRAW · 배당 3.74 · 변동 +0.99% · 2026-09-13 21:13:22DRAW · 배당 3.74 · 변동 +0.99% · 2026-09-13 21:44:23DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -5.41% · 2026-09-13 22:13:39DRAW · 배당 3.77 · 변동 +1.79% · 2026-09-13 22:13:40DRAW · 배당 3.74 · 변동 +0.99% · 2026-09-13 22:45:03DRAW · 배당 3.74 · 변동 +0.99% · 2026-09-13 23:12:34DRAW · 배당 3.74 · 변동 +0.99% · 2026-09-13 23:44:28AWAY · 배당 2.99 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 00:15:21AWAY · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.13% · 2026-09-13 00:12:47AWAY · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -2.85% · 2026-09-13 00:44:33AWAY · 배당 2.99 · 변동 +0.21% · 2026-09-13 00:44:34AWAY · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.13% · 2026-09-13 01:13:39AWAY · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.13% · 2026-09-13 01:44:09AWAY · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.13% · 2026-09-13 03:12:46AWAY · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.13% · 2026-09-13 03:43:38AWAY · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.13% · 2026-09-13 04:12:29AWAY · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.13% · 2026-09-13 04:42:48AWAY · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -2.85% · 2026-09-13 05:13:41AWAY · 배당 2.99 · 변동 +0.21% · 2026-09-13 05:13:42AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -1.17% · 2026-09-13 05:43:39AWAY · 배당 2.99 · 변동 +0.17% · 2026-09-13 05:43:40AWAY · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.13% · 2026-09-13 06:12:40AWAY · 배당 2.97 · 변동 -0.59% · 2026-09-13 06:44:57AWAY · 배당 2.99 · 변동 +0.23% · 2026-09-13 06:44:58AWAY · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.13% · 2026-09-13 07:13:09AWAY · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.13% · 2026-09-13 07:43:15AWAY · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.13% · 2026-09-13 08:13:12AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 -0.95% · 2026-09-13 08:43:38AWAY · 배당 2.99 · 변동 +0.28% · 2026-09-13 08:43:39AWAY · 배당 2.97 · 변동 -0.35% · 2026-09-13 09:12:31AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -1.17% · 2026-09-13 09:43:27AWAY · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.12% · 2026-09-13 09:43:28AWAY · 배당 2.97 · 변동 -0.35% · 2026-09-13 10:12:32AWAY · 배당 2.97 · 변동 -0.35% · 2026-09-13 10:42:43AWAY · 배당 2.97 · 변동 -0.35% · 2026-09-13 11:13:24AWAY · 배당 2.97 · 변동 -0.35% · 2026-09-13 11:42:44AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-13 12:12:43AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -1.06% · 2026-09-13 12:44:32AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 -0.95% · 2026-09-13 12:44:33AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-13 13:12:32AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-13 13:42:46AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-13 14:12:46AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -1.17% · 2026-09-13 14:44:12AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 -0.98% · 2026-09-13 14:44:13AWAY · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.24% · 2026-09-13 15:12:31AWAY · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.24% · 2026-09-13 15:53:31AWAY · 배당 2.97 · 변동 -0.44% · 2026-09-13 16:34:59AWAY · 배당 2.99 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-13 16:35:00AWAY · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.24% · 2026-09-13 17:14:06AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 -0.75% · 2026-09-13 17:54:06AWAY · 배당 2.99 · 변동 +0.17% · 2026-09-13 17:54:07AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -1.17% · 2026-09-13 18:35:46AWAY · 배당 2.99 · 변동 +0.02% · 2026-09-13 18:35:47AWAY · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.24% · 2026-09-13 19:13:48AWAY · 배당 2.97 · 변동 -0.50% · 2026-09-13 19:54:47AWAY · 배당 2.99 · 변동 +0.08% · 2026-09-13 19:54:48AWAY · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.24% · 2026-09-13 20:34:24AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +6.20% · 2026-09-13 21:13:22AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +6.20% · 2026-09-13 21:44:23AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 +3.85% · 2026-09-13 22:13:39AWAY · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +6.49% · 2026-09-13 22:13:40AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +6.20% · 2026-09-13 22:45:03AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +6.20% · 2026-09-13 23:12:34AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +6.20% · 2026-09-13 23:44:28
HOME57 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.19
→
CURRENT2.07
-5.53%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW57 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.70
→
CURRENT3.74
+0.99%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY57 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.99
→
CURRENT3.17
+6.20%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-09-12 00:15:212.193.702.99
2026-09-13 00:12:472.183.652.98
2026-09-13 00:44:332.203.502.90
2026-09-13 00:44:342.183.672.99
2026-09-13 01:13:392.183.652.98
2026-09-13 01:44:092.183.652.98
2026-09-13 03:12:462.183.652.98
2026-09-13 03:43:382.183.652.98
2026-09-13 04:12:292.183.652.98
2026-09-13 04:42:482.183.652.98
2026-09-13 05:13:412.203.502.90
2026-09-13 05:13:422.183.672.99
2026-09-13 05:43:392.203.632.95
2026-09-13 05:43:402.183.662.99
2026-09-13 06:12:402.183.652.98
2026-09-13 06:44:572.183.652.97
2026-09-13 06:44:582.193.662.99
2026-09-13 07:13:092.183.652.98
2026-09-13 07:43:152.183.652.98
2026-09-13 08:13:122.183.652.98
2026-09-13 08:43:382.193.632.96
2026-09-13 08:43:392.183.662.99
2026-09-13 09:12:312.183.662.97
2026-09-13 09:43:272.203.632.95
2026-09-13 09:43:282.183.672.98
2026-09-13 10:12:322.183.662.97
2026-09-13 10:42:432.183.662.97
2026-09-13 11:13:242.183.662.97
2026-09-13 11:42:442.183.662.97
2026-09-13 12:12:432.203.652.95
2026-09-13 12:44:322.213.672.95
2026-09-13 12:44:332.193.612.96
2026-09-13 13:12:322.203.652.95
2026-09-13 13:42:462.203.652.95
2026-09-13 14:12:462.203.652.95
2026-09-13 14:44:122.233.632.95
2026-09-13 14:44:132.203.662.96
2026-09-13 15:12:312.173.682.98
2026-09-13 15:53:312.173.682.98
2026-09-13 16:34:592.163.672.97
2026-09-13 16:35:002.183.692.99
2026-09-13 17:14:062.173.682.98
2026-09-13 17:54:062.173.642.96
2026-09-13 17:54:072.193.682.99
2026-09-13 18:35:462.183.632.95
2026-09-13 18:35:472.183.672.99
2026-09-13 19:13:482.183.662.98
2026-09-13 19:54:472.163.662.97
2026-09-13 19:54:482.203.672.99
2026-09-13 20:34:242.183.662.98
2026-09-13 21:13:222.073.743.17
2026-09-13 21:44:232.073.743.17
2026-09-13 22:13:392.053.503.10
2026-09-13 22:13:402.073.773.18
2026-09-13 22:45:032.073.743.17
2026-09-13 23:12:342.073.743.17
2026-09-13 23:44:282.073.743.17

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.09.13Excelsior1 : 2Utrecht
2026.04.26Excelsior5 : 0Utrecht
2025.08.24Utrecht4 : 1Excelsior