경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Eredivisie Netherlands · Regular Season - 5

HeerenveenHOME · 3.69

2 : 32026.09.06 · 종료

AZ AlkmaarAWAY · 1.85

HOME · 현재 순위 11위 승점 5 · 4경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 2위 승점 12 · 4경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.9%

DRAW18.0%

AWAY15.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 46.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +41.2%

VALUE EDGE+41.2%

FAIR ODDS1.49

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +20.3%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +33.3%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -18.7%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +20.6%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

Heerenveen분석 지표AZ Alkmaar

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%

2.33 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.92

1.75 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.92

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 40.0%

7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.8일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

85/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도5.7 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME25.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승14.0%표본 86경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.5%현재 이동 -2.9%

OPEN → NOW3.80 → 3.69배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:43:06

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

66.9%

DRAW

18.0%

AWAY

15.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Heerenveen

D · 2-2L · 0-2D · 2-2W · 1-0W · 3-2

AZ Alkmaar

W · 5-2W · 0-2W · 1-4W · 2-0W · 3-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME64 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.77

→

CURRENT3.68

-2.55%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW64 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.04

→

CURRENT4.04

+0.02%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY64 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.80

→

CURRENT1.85

+2.51%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-05 00:15:29	3.77	4.04	1.80
2026-09-05 12:15:33	4.09	4.14	1.73
2026-09-06 00:03:12	3.95	4.09	1.76
2026-09-06 00:33:52	3.96	4.10	1.76
2026-09-06 01:02:26	3.75	3.80	1.75
2026-09-06 01:02:27	4.00	4.16	1.76
2026-09-06 01:33:06	3.93	4.03	1.75
2026-09-06 01:33:07	4.03	4.26	1.79
2026-09-06 02:02:26	3.96	4.10	1.76
2026-09-06 02:32:59	3.96	4.10	1.76
2026-09-06 03:03:06	3.96	4.10	1.76
2026-09-06 03:03:10	3.75	3.80	1.75
2026-09-06 03:03:11	3.99	4.16	1.77
2026-09-06 03:33:10	3.95	4.10	1.77
2026-09-06 04:02:55	3.95	4.10	1.77
2026-09-06 04:33:10	3.95	4.10	1.77
2026-09-06 05:02:53	3.95	4.10	1.77
2026-09-06 05:33:16	3.93	4.03	1.75
2026-09-06 05:33:17	4.00	4.25	1.80
2026-09-06 06:02:52	3.95	4.10	1.77
2026-09-06 06:33:21	3.93	3.95	1.75
2026-09-06 06:33:22	3.96	4.18	1.77
2026-09-06 07:03:10	3.93	3.95	1.75
2026-09-06 07:03:11	3.96	4.18	1.77
2026-09-06 07:33:28	3.93	4.00	1.75
2026-09-06 07:33:29	3.97	4.20	1.78
2026-09-06 08:02:53	3.95	4.10	1.77
2026-09-06 08:33:41	3.95	4.10	1.77
2026-09-06 09:02:46	3.94	4.08	1.77
2026-09-06 09:33:31	3.94	4.08	1.77
2026-09-06 10:02:27	3.94	4.08	1.77
2026-09-06 10:33:12	3.94	4.08	1.77
2026-09-06 11:03:05	3.91	3.98	1.75
2026-09-06 11:03:06	3.97	4.18	1.78
2026-09-06 11:33:37	3.94	4.08	1.77
2026-09-06 12:02:45	3.94	4.08	1.77
2026-09-06 12:33:59	3.94	4.08	1.77
2026-09-06 13:02:52	3.94	4.08	1.77
2026-09-06 13:33:32	3.94	4.08	1.77
2026-09-06 14:03:39	3.94	4.08	1.77
2026-09-06 14:33:10	3.91	4.01	1.75
2026-09-06 14:33:11	4.02	4.23	1.81
2026-09-06 15:03:40	3.97	4.16	1.76
2026-09-06 15:32:48	3.97	4.16	1.76
2026-09-06 16:03:38	3.97	4.16	1.76
2026-09-06 16:33:45	3.97	4.16	1.76
2026-09-06 17:03:10	3.97	4.16	1.76
2026-09-06 17:34:04	3.97	4.16	1.76
2026-09-06 18:03:12	3.85	4.13	1.79
2026-09-06 18:34:59	3.80	3.90	1.75
2026-09-06 18:35:00	3.86	4.18	1.80
2026-09-06 19:13:32	3.85	4.13	1.79
2026-09-06 19:55:25	3.83	4.03	1.77
2026-09-06 19:55:26	3.86	4.23	1.81
2026-09-06 20:33:34	3.80	3.90	1.75
2026-09-06 20:33:35	3.86	4.18	1.80
2026-09-06 21:13:26	3.68	4.04	1.85
2026-09-06 21:43:24	3.68	4.04	1.85
2026-09-06 22:13:56	3.60	3.93	1.85
2026-09-06 22:13:57	3.72	4.10	1.85
2026-09-06 22:43:26	3.66	4.03	1.84
2026-09-06 22:43:27	3.78	4.10	1.87
2026-09-06 23:13:28	3.68	4.04	1.85
2026-09-06 23:43:06	3.68	4.04	1.85

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.06	Heerenveen	2 : 3	AZ Alkmaar
2026.04.12	AZ Alkmaar	3 : 0	Heerenveen
2025.11.23	Heerenveen	3 : 1	AZ Alkmaar
2025.05.23	AZ Alkmaar	4 : 1	Heerenveen
2025.03.02	Heerenveen	3 : 1	AZ Alkmaar
2024.09.15	AZ Alkmaar	9 : 1	Heerenveen