경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Serie A
Italy · Regular Season - 4
NapoliHOME · 1.91
1 : 02026.09.14 · 종료
BolognaAWAY · 4.14
HOME · 현재 순위
13위
승점 3
· 3경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
16위
승점 1
· 3경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME47.9%
DRAW25.8%
AWAY26.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH91 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME50.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승48.4%표본 62경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승66.7%표본 3경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승40.8%현재 이동 +7.6%
OPEN → NOW1.78 → 1.91배당 업데이트 2026-09-13 23:44:20
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
NapoliL · 0-1L · 3-2L · 1-2W · 0-2W · 6-2
BolognaD · 2-2L · 1-0L · 0-1L · 1-0L · 1-4
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME61 SNAPSHOTS
+6.77%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW61 SNAPSHOTS
-0.81%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY61 SNAPSHOTS
-14.09%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-12 00:15:20 | 1.78 | 3.57 | 4.78 |
| 2026-09-13 00:12:43 | 1.83 | 3.45 | 4.45 |
| 2026-09-13 00:12:44 | 1.84 | 3.51 | 4.46 |
| 2026-09-13 00:44:22 | 1.83 | 3.49 | 4.52 |
| 2026-09-13 00:44:23 | 1.84 | 3.50 | 4.43 |
| 2026-09-13 01:13:32 | 1.84 | 3.52 | 4.51 |
| 2026-09-13 01:13:33 | 1.84 | 3.46 | 4.37 |
| 2026-09-13 01:44:01 | 1.84 | 3.50 | 4.46 |
| 2026-09-13 02:13:12 | 1.84 | 3.50 | 4.47 |
| 2026-09-13 02:43:58 | 1.84 | 3.50 | 4.47 |
| 2026-09-13 03:12:43 | 1.84 | 3.50 | 4.51 |
| 2026-09-13 03:12:44 | 1.84 | 3.50 | 4.44 |
| 2026-09-13 03:43:31 | 1.82 | 3.47 | 4.44 |
| 2026-09-13 03:43:32 | 1.88 | 3.58 | 4.58 |
| 2026-09-13 04:12:27 | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| 2026-09-13 04:12:28 | 1.84 | 3.51 | 4.48 |
| 2026-09-13 04:42:44 | 1.84 | 3.50 | 4.47 |
| 2026-09-13 05:13:33 | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.51 |
| 2026-09-13 05:13:34 | 1.85 | 3.52 | 4.46 |
| 2026-09-13 05:43:32 | 1.84 | 3.51 | 4.49 |
| 2026-09-13 06:12:38 | 1.84 | 3.51 | 4.49 |
| 2026-09-13 06:44:46 | 1.84 | 3.50 | 4.51 |
| 2026-09-13 06:44:47 | 1.84 | 3.52 | 4.47 |
| 2026-09-13 07:13:03 | 1.84 | 3.51 | 4.49 |
| 2026-09-13 07:43:10 | 1.84 | 3.51 | 4.49 |
| 2026-09-13 08:13:07 | 1.84 | 3.48 | 4.51 |
| 2026-09-13 08:13:08 | 1.86 | 3.51 | 4.45 |
| 2026-09-13 08:43:31 | 1.83 | 3.45 | 4.45 |
| 2026-09-13 08:43:32 | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.49 |
| 2026-09-13 09:12:28 | 1.85 | 3.49 | 4.48 |
| 2026-09-13 09:43:19 | 1.85 | 3.49 | 4.48 |
| 2026-09-13 10:12:29 | 1.85 | 3.49 | 4.48 |
| 2026-09-13 10:42:39 | 1.85 | 3.49 | 4.48 |
| 2026-09-13 12:12:40 | 1.85 | 3.49 | 4.45 |
| 2026-09-13 12:44:23 | 1.84 | 3.45 | 4.40 |
| 2026-09-13 12:44:24 | 1.90 | 3.61 | 4.60 |
| 2026-09-13 13:12:29 | 1.85 | 3.49 | 4.45 |
| 2026-09-13 13:42:43 | 1.85 | 3.49 | 4.45 |
| 2026-09-13 14:12:42 | 1.85 | 3.49 | 4.45 |
| 2026-09-13 14:44:02 | 1.83 | 3.30 | 4.20 |
| 2026-09-13 14:44:03 | 1.85 | 3.51 | 4.48 |
| 2026-09-13 15:12:29 | 1.85 | 3.48 | 4.45 |
| 2026-09-13 15:53:26 | 1.85 | 3.48 | 4.48 |
| 2026-09-13 15:53:27 | 1.86 | 3.48 | 4.39 |
| 2026-09-13 16:34:51 | 1.85 | 3.48 | 4.45 |
| 2026-09-13 17:13:59 | 1.85 | 3.48 | 4.45 |
| 2026-09-13 17:53:58 | 1.84 | 3.57 | 4.39 |
| 2026-09-13 18:35:34 | 1.83 | 3.57 | 4.43 |
| 2026-09-13 18:35:35 | 1.85 | 3.56 | 4.32 |
| 2026-09-13 19:13:41 | 1.83 | 3.45 | 4.35 |
| 2026-09-13 19:13:42 | 1.84 | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| 2026-09-13 19:54:38 | 1.83 | 3.30 | 4.20 |
| 2026-09-13 19:54:39 | 1.84 | 3.60 | 4.42 |
| 2026-09-13 20:34:17 | 1.83 | 3.54 | 4.43 |
| 2026-09-13 20:34:18 | 1.85 | 3.60 | 4.35 |
| 2026-09-13 21:13:17 | 1.90 | 3.54 | 4.11 |
| 2026-09-13 21:44:16 | 1.90 | 3.54 | 4.11 |
| 2026-09-13 22:13:34 | 1.90 | 3.54 | 4.11 |
| 2026-09-13 22:44:53 | 1.90 | 3.54 | 4.11 |
| 2026-09-13 23:12:32 | 1.90 | 3.54 | 4.11 |
| 2026-09-13 23:44:20 | 1.90 | 3.54 | 4.11 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.14 | Napoli | 1 : 0 | Bologna |
| 2026.05.12 | Napoli | 2 : 3 | Bologna |
| 2025.11.09 | Bologna | 2 : 0 | Napoli |
| 2025.04.08 | Bologna | 1 : 1 | Napoli |
| 2024.08.26 | Napoli | 3 : 0 | Bologna |