경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Premier League Kazakhstan · Regular Season - 27

FC AstanaHOME · 2.37

1 : 02026.09.17 · 종료

Kairat AlmatyAWAY · 2.64

HOME · 현재 순위 3위 승점 45 · 24경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 2위 승점 57 · 25경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME35.1%

DRAW22.9%

AWAY42.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH87 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 36.7% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +7.7%

VALUE EDGE+7.7%

FAIR ODDS2.38

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 72/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +21.0%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +16.7%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -11.3%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -6.7%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

FC Astana분석 지표Kairat Almaty

66.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

2.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.25

1.17 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.25

83.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 40.0%

5.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

87/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도10.4 / 15

예측 분리도2.9 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME38.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승43.8%표본 192경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승36.2%현재 이동 -21.4%

OPEN → NOW3.01 → 2.37배당 업데이트 2026-09-17 23:52:07

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

35.1%

DRAW

22.9%

AWAY

42.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

FC Astana

L · 1-0W · 4-0W · 2-3D · 1-1W · 2-1

Kairat Almaty

L · 1-4W · 3-0W · 0-3W · 0-2L · 3-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.69

→

CURRENT2.37

-11.99%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.39

→

CURRENT3.28

-3.18%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.30

→

CURRENT2.64

+14.83%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-17 11:42:05	2.69	3.39	2.30
2026-09-17 11:52:06	2.69	3.39	2.30
2026-09-17 12:02:05	2.69	3.39	2.30
2026-09-17 12:12:04	2.69	3.39	2.30
2026-09-17 12:22:05	2.69	3.39	2.30
2026-09-17 12:32:05	2.69	3.39	2.30
2026-09-17 12:42:04	2.69	3.39	2.30
2026-09-17 12:52:04	2.69	3.39	2.30
2026-09-17 13:02:06	2.69	3.39	2.30
2026-09-17 13:12:05	2.69	3.39	2.30
2026-09-17 13:22:06	2.64	3.34	2.31
2026-09-17 13:32:05	2.64	3.34	2.31
2026-09-17 13:42:05	2.64	3.34	2.31
2026-09-17 13:52:05	2.64	3.34	2.31
2026-09-17 14:02:04	2.64	3.34	2.31
2026-09-17 14:12:05	2.64	3.34	2.31
2026-09-17 14:22:06	2.64	3.34	2.31
2026-09-17 14:32:05	2.64	3.34	2.31
2026-09-17 14:42:04	2.64	3.34	2.31
2026-09-17 14:52:05	2.64	3.34	2.31
2026-09-17 15:02:05	2.64	3.33	2.30
2026-09-17 15:02:06	2.70	3.40	2.35
2026-09-17 15:12:05	2.64	3.34	2.31
2026-09-17 15:22:05	2.64	3.34	2.31
2026-09-17 15:32:05	2.64	3.34	2.31
2026-09-17 15:42:04	2.64	3.35	2.29
2026-09-17 15:42:05	2.64	3.33	2.34
2026-09-17 15:52:05	2.64	3.34	2.31
2026-09-17 16:02:04	2.64	3.34	2.31
2026-09-17 16:12:04	2.62	3.30	2.29
2026-09-17 16:12:05	2.71	3.47	2.39
2026-09-17 16:22:05	2.60	3.29	2.38
2026-09-17 16:32:06	2.60	3.29	2.38
2026-09-17 16:42:04	2.60	3.29	2.38
2026-09-17 16:52:06	2.60	3.29	2.38
2026-09-17 17:02:06	2.60	3.29	2.38
2026-09-17 17:12:04	2.60	3.29	2.38
2026-09-17 17:22:06	2.60	3.29	2.38
2026-09-17 17:32:05	2.60	3.29	2.38
2026-09-17 17:42:05	2.60	3.29	2.38
2026-09-17 17:52:06	2.60	3.29	2.38
2026-09-17 18:02:05	2.60	3.29	2.38
2026-09-17 18:12:04	2.54	3.25	2.39
2026-09-17 18:12:05	2.62	3.30	2.38
2026-09-17 18:22:05	2.60	3.29	2.38
2026-09-17 18:32:06	2.60	3.29	2.38
2026-09-17 18:42:05	2.60	3.29	2.38
2026-09-17 18:52:06	2.60	3.29	2.38
2026-09-17 19:02:05	2.60	3.29	2.38
2026-09-17 19:12:05	2.60	3.29	2.38
2026-09-17 19:22:06	2.56	3.42	2.36
2026-09-17 19:32:06	2.56	3.42	2.36
2026-09-17 19:42:06	2.56	3.42	2.36
2026-09-17 19:52:05	2.56	3.42	2.36
2026-09-17 20:02:05	2.56	3.42	2.36
2026-09-17 20:12:05	2.56	3.42	2.36
2026-09-17 20:22:05	2.56	3.42	2.36
2026-09-17 20:32:05	2.56	3.42	2.36
2026-09-17 20:42:06	2.56	3.42	2.36
2026-09-17 20:52:05	2.56	3.42	2.36
2026-09-17 21:02:06	2.56	3.42	2.36
2026-09-17 21:12:05	2.56	3.42	2.36
2026-09-17 21:22:05	2.56	3.42	2.36
2026-09-17 21:32:06	2.56	3.42	2.36
2026-09-17 21:42:04	2.53	3.36	2.36
2026-09-17 21:42:05	2.58	3.45	2.35
2026-09-17 21:52:07	2.56	3.42	2.36
2026-09-17 22:02:05	2.56	3.42	2.36
2026-09-17 22:12:06	2.56	3.42	2.36
2026-09-17 22:22:06	2.37	3.28	2.64
2026-09-17 22:32:05	2.37	3.28	2.64
2026-09-17 22:42:07	2.37	3.28	2.64
2026-09-17 22:52:07	2.37	3.28	2.64
2026-09-17 23:02:06	2.37	3.28	2.64
2026-09-17 23:12:06	2.37	3.28	2.64
2026-09-17 23:22:05	2.36	3.28	2.61
2026-09-17 23:22:06	2.37	3.28	2.68
2026-09-17 23:32:06	2.37	3.28	2.64
2026-09-17 23:42:07	2.37	3.28	2.64
2026-09-17 23:52:07	2.37	3.28	2.64

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.17	FC Astana	1 : 0	Kairat Almaty
2026.04.05	Kairat Almaty	4 : 0	FC Astana
2025.10.26	Kairat Almaty	1 : 1	FC Astana
2025.03.02	FC Astana	1 : 1	Kairat Almaty
2024.09.01	Kairat Almaty	0 : 1	FC Astana
2024.06.30	FC Astana	1 : 3	Kairat Almaty