경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Premier League Kazakhstan · Regular Season - 25

FK Tobol KostanayHOME · 1.70

3 : 12026.09.06 · 종료

UlytauAWAY · 4.20

HOME · 현재 순위 7위 승점 37 · 27경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 8위 승점 35 · 27경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME63.1%

DRAW20.7%

AWAY16.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH91 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 46.2% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +9.7%

VALUE EDGE+9.7%

FAIR ODDS1.59

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +43.8%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +38.9%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +3.7%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE

FK Tobol Kostanay분석 지표Ulytau

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

1.25 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.00

1.33 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.33

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

7.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 8.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

91/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.5 / 10

모델 일치도12.6 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도8.5 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.8 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME53.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승53.8%표본 169경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승44.4%현재 이동 -15.0%

OPEN → NOW2.00 → 1.70배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:42:52

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

63.1%

DRAW

20.7%

AWAY

16.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

FK Tobol Kostanay

L · 1-0W · 3-2W · 0-2L · 1-2L · 3-0

Ulytau

W · 3-0L · 3-1D · 1-1L · 0-2L · 1-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME58 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.98

→

CURRENT1.71

-13.89%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW58 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.33

→

CURRENT3.75

+12.61%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY58 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.40

→

CURRENT4.32

+26.91%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-05 00:15:22	1.98	3.33	3.40
2026-09-05 12:15:26	1.99	3.39	3.36
2026-09-06 00:02:56	1.90	3.41	3.67
2026-09-06 00:33:22	1.90	3.41	3.67
2026-09-06 01:02:20	1.90	3.41	3.67
2026-09-06 01:32:46	1.80	3.50	3.80
2026-09-06 01:32:47	1.95	3.37	3.60
2026-09-06 02:02:19	1.90	3.41	3.67
2026-09-06 02:32:41	1.90	3.41	3.67
2026-09-06 03:32:55	1.76	3.55	4.05
2026-09-06 04:02:41	1.76	3.55	4.05
2026-09-06 04:32:52	1.76	3.55	4.05
2026-09-06 05:02:41	1.69	3.59	4.29
2026-09-06 05:02:42	1.82	3.50	3.82
2026-09-06 05:32:57	1.76	3.55	4.05
2026-09-06 06:02:39	1.76	3.55	4.05
2026-09-06 06:32:58	1.75	3.55	4.08
2026-09-06 07:02:53	1.75	3.55	4.08
2026-09-06 07:33:07	1.75	3.55	4.08
2026-09-06 08:02:43	1.75	3.55	4.08
2026-09-06 08:33:14	1.75	3.55	4.08
2026-09-06 09:02:34	1.75	3.55	4.08
2026-09-06 09:33:07	1.75	3.55	4.08
2026-09-06 10:02:21	1.75	3.55	4.08
2026-09-06 10:32:53	1.75	3.55	4.08
2026-09-06 11:02:47	1.75	3.55	4.08
2026-09-06 11:33:13	1.75	3.55	4.08
2026-09-06 12:02:34	1.75	3.55	4.08
2026-09-06 12:33:30	1.71	3.56	4.17
2026-09-06 12:33:31	1.83	3.66	4.12
2026-09-06 13:02:42	1.74	3.58	4.16
2026-09-06 13:33:12	1.74	3.58	4.16
2026-09-06 14:03:15	1.60	3.70	4.75
2026-09-06 14:03:16	1.79	3.54	3.96
2026-09-06 14:32:51	1.74	3.58	4.16
2026-09-06 15:03:18	1.74	3.58	4.16
2026-09-06 15:32:36	1.74	3.58	4.16
2026-09-06 16:03:17	1.74	3.58	4.16
2026-09-06 16:33:23	1.60	3.70	4.75
2026-09-06 16:33:24	1.79	3.54	3.96
2026-09-06 17:02:53	1.60	3.70	4.75
2026-09-06 17:02:54	1.79	3.54	3.96
2026-09-06 17:33:37	1.74	3.58	4.16
2026-09-06 18:02:53	1.74	3.58	4.16
2026-09-06 18:34:18	1.80	3.40	3.70
2026-09-06 18:34:19	1.79	3.54	3.93
2026-09-06 19:13:10	1.80	3.48	3.84
2026-09-06 19:54:37	1.80	3.40	3.70
2026-09-06 19:54:38	1.79	3.54	3.93
2026-09-06 20:33:10	1.80	3.48	3.84
2026-09-06 21:13:05	1.80	3.48	3.84
2026-09-06 21:43:05	1.71	3.62	4.15
2026-09-06 22:13:27	1.71	3.62	4.15
2026-09-06 22:43:06	1.70	3.59	4.09
2026-09-06 22:43:07	1.75	3.78	4.38
2026-09-06 23:13:08	1.71	3.62	4.15
2026-09-06 23:42:51	1.71	3.54	4.03
2026-09-06 23:42:52	1.71	3.75	4.32

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.06	FK Tobol Kostanay	3 : 1	Ulytau
2026.04.19	Ulytau	2 : 1	FK Tobol Kostanay
2025.10.26	Ulytau	2 : 2	FK Tobol Kostanay
2025.03.01	FK Tobol Kostanay	2 : 0	Ulytau