경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
K League 1
South-Korea · Regular Season - 30

Incheon UnitedHOME · 2.81
1 : 12026.09.20 · 종료
Daejeon CitizenAWAY · 2.45

HOME · 현재 순위
8위
승점 37
· 28경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
6위
승점 39
· 29경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME35.1%
DRAW26.2%
AWAY38.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH87 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME33.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승27.0%표본 100경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 4경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승43.5%현재 이동 +3.3%
OPEN → NOW2.72 → 2.81배당 업데이트 2026-09-20 23:53:16
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Incheon UnitedL · 2-1W · 2-1L · 1-0D · 1-1L · 2-1
Daejeon CitizenW · 1-0D · 2-2W · 3-2W · 0-5L · 3-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME58 SNAPSHOTS
+3.83%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW58 SNAPSHOTS
-0.80%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY58 SNAPSHOTS
-0.29%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-19 00:15:14 | 2.71 | 3.25 | 2.46 |
| 2026-09-20 00:13:04 | 2.74 | 3.28 | 2.48 |
| 2026-09-20 00:43:29 | 2.74 | 3.28 | 2.48 |
| 2026-09-20 01:13:11 | 2.73 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
| 2026-09-20 01:13:12 | 2.75 | 3.35 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-20 01:42:39 | 2.74 | 3.28 | 2.48 |
| 2026-09-20 02:13:16 | 2.74 | 3.28 | 2.48 |
| 2026-09-20 02:42:40 | 2.74 | 3.28 | 2.48 |
| 2026-09-20 03:13:17 | 2.74 | 3.28 | 2.48 |
| 2026-09-20 03:42:26 | 2.74 | 3.28 | 2.48 |
| 2026-09-20 04:12:59 | 2.74 | 3.28 | 2.48 |
| 2026-09-20 04:42:13 | 2.74 | 3.28 | 2.48 |
| 2026-09-20 05:12:54 | 2.74 | 3.28 | 2.48 |
| 2026-09-20 05:42:40 | 2.74 | 3.28 | 2.48 |
| 2026-09-20 06:13:00 | 2.74 | 3.28 | 2.48 |
| 2026-09-20 06:43:24 | 2.74 | 3.28 | 2.48 |
| 2026-09-20 07:13:01 | 2.74 | 3.28 | 2.48 |
| 2026-09-20 07:52:45 | 2.71 | 3.26 | 2.45 |
| 2026-09-20 07:52:46 | 2.72 | 3.20 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-20 08:33:19 | 2.74 | 3.23 | 2.43 |
| 2026-09-20 08:33:20 | 2.70 | 3.27 | 2.47 |
| 2026-09-20 09:12:26 | 2.71 | 3.26 | 2.46 |
| 2026-09-20 09:52:31 | 2.71 | 3.26 | 2.46 |
| 2026-09-20 10:32:45 | 2.72 | 3.27 | 2.45 |
| 2026-09-20 11:12:28 | 2.72 | 3.27 | 2.45 |
| 2026-09-20 11:52:17 | 2.72 | 3.27 | 2.45 |
| 2026-09-20 12:33:16 | 2.72 | 3.28 | 2.44 |
| 2026-09-20 12:33:17 | 2.72 | 3.24 | 2.52 |
| 2026-09-20 13:12:21 | 2.72 | 3.27 | 2.45 |
| 2026-09-20 13:52:39 | 2.72 | 3.27 | 2.46 |
| 2026-09-20 14:32:39 | 2.72 | 3.27 | 2.46 |
| 2026-09-20 15:12:41 | 2.72 | 3.28 | 2.44 |
| 2026-09-20 15:12:42 | 2.72 | 3.24 | 2.52 |
| 2026-09-20 15:42:26 | 2.72 | 3.27 | 2.46 |
| 2026-09-20 16:12:45 | 2.72 | 3.27 | 2.46 |
| 2026-09-20 16:43:09 | 2.80 | 3.21 | 2.44 |
| 2026-09-20 16:43:10 | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.45 |
| 2026-09-20 17:13:30 | 2.80 | 3.22 | 2.44 |
| 2026-09-20 17:43:08 | 2.80 | 3.22 | 2.44 |
| 2026-09-20 18:13:22 | 2.80 | 3.22 | 2.44 |
| 2026-09-20 18:53:50 | 2.77 | 3.17 | 2.43 |
| 2026-09-20 18:53:51 | 2.81 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
| 2026-09-20 19:33:46 | 2.82 | 3.21 | 2.43 |
| 2026-09-20 19:33:47 | 2.82 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
| 2026-09-20 20:12:56 | 2.82 | 3.22 | 2.43 |
| 2026-09-20 20:53:30 | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.45 |
| 2026-09-20 20:53:31 | 2.82 | 3.24 | 2.43 |
| 2026-09-20 21:23:07 | 2.82 | 3.22 | 2.43 |
| 2026-09-20 21:53:20 | 2.78 | 3.20 | 2.42 |
| 2026-09-20 21:53:21 | 2.85 | 3.23 | 2.43 |
| 2026-09-20 22:23:39 | 2.82 | 3.21 | 2.43 |
| 2026-09-20 22:23:40 | 2.82 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
| 2026-09-20 22:53:27 | 2.75 | 3.15 | 2.42 |
| 2026-09-20 22:53:28 | 2.84 | 3.24 | 2.43 |
| 2026-09-20 23:23:29 | 2.75 | 3.15 | 2.42 |
| 2026-09-20 23:23:30 | 2.84 | 3.24 | 2.43 |
| 2026-09-20 23:53:15 | 2.82 | 3.21 | 2.42 |
| 2026-09-20 23:53:16 | 2.82 | 3.23 | 2.46 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.20 | Incheon United | 1 : 1 | Daejeon Citizen |
| 2026.05.05 | Daejeon Citizen | 0 : 0 | Incheon United |
| 2026.03.18 | Incheon United | 1 : 3 | Daejeon Citizen |
| 2024.11.10 | Incheon United | 1 : 2 | Daejeon Citizen |
| 2024.08.17 | Daejeon Citizen | 2 : 1 | Incheon United |
| 2024.05.18 | Daejeon Citizen | 0 : 1 | Incheon United |
| 2024.03.30 | Incheon United | 2 : 0 | Daejeon Citizen |