경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Serie A
Brazil · Regular Season - 28
Atletico-MGHOME · 1.36
1 : 12026.09.20 · 종료
Chapecoense-scAWAY · 9.61
HOME · 현재 순위
7위
승점 39
· 26경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
20위
승점 17
· 26경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME81.8%
DRAW12.6%
AWAY5.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME70.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승60.0%표본 5경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승48.9%현재 이동 -3.5%
OPEN → NOW1.41 → 1.36배당 업데이트 2026-09-19 23:32:06
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Atletico-MGW · 4-2W · 3-1L · 2-0L · 2-0W · 2-1
Chapecoense-scL · 1-2W · 1-2L · 3-1W · 1-0D · 3-3
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME59 SNAPSHOTS
-3.92%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW59 SNAPSHOTS
+13.49%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY59 SNAPSHOTS
+38.30%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-18 00:15:02 | 1.42 | 4.42 | 6.95 |
| 2026-09-19 00:12:02 | 1.41 | 4.49 | 7.06 |
| 2026-09-19 00:42:09 | 1.41 | 4.44 | 7.11 |
| 2026-09-19 00:42:10 | 1.41 | 4.53 | 7.03 |
| 2026-09-19 01:12:04 | 1.40 | 4.33 | 6.50 |
| 2026-09-19 01:12:05 | 1.41 | 4.51 | 7.14 |
| 2026-09-19 01:42:06 | 1.41 | 4.33 | 7.25 |
| 2026-09-19 01:42:07 | 1.40 | 4.52 | 7.00 |
| 2026-09-19 01:42:08 | 1.45 | 4.65 | 7.10 |
| 2026-09-19 02:12:05 | 1.41 | 4.49 | 7.06 |
| 2026-09-19 02:42:07 | 1.41 | 4.44 | 7.11 |
| 2026-09-19 02:42:08 | 1.41 | 4.53 | 7.03 |
| 2026-09-19 03:12:02 | 1.41 | 4.49 | 7.06 |
| 2026-09-19 03:42:04 | 1.41 | 4.49 | 7.06 |
| 2026-09-19 04:12:02 | 1.41 | 4.49 | 7.06 |
| 2026-09-19 04:52:04 | 1.41 | 4.33 | 7.25 |
| 2026-09-19 04:52:05 | 1.41 | 4.54 | 7.01 |
| 2026-09-19 05:32:05 | 1.41 | 4.49 | 7.06 |
| 2026-09-19 06:12:04 | 1.41 | 4.49 | 7.06 |
| 2026-09-19 06:52:04 | 1.41 | 4.45 | 7.09 |
| 2026-09-19 06:52:05 | 1.42 | 4.54 | 7.03 |
| 2026-09-19 07:32:05 | 1.42 | 4.50 | 7.09 |
| 2026-09-19 08:12:05 | 1.42 | 4.50 | 7.09 |
| 2026-09-19 08:52:05 | 1.42 | 4.50 | 7.09 |
| 2026-09-19 09:32:04 | 1.41 | 4.39 | 7.15 |
| 2026-09-19 09:32:05 | 1.42 | 4.55 | 7.06 |
| 2026-09-19 10:12:02 | 1.42 | 4.50 | 7.09 |
| 2026-09-19 10:52:04 | 1.41 | 4.50 | 7.27 |
| 2026-09-19 11:32:05 | 1.41 | 4.50 | 7.27 |
| 2026-09-19 12:12:03 | 1.41 | 4.50 | 7.27 |
| 2026-09-19 12:52:08 | 1.40 | 4.46 | 7.21 |
| 2026-09-19 12:52:09 | 1.44 | 4.90 | 7.80 |
| 2026-09-19 13:32:06 | 1.39 | 4.56 | 7.63 |
| 2026-09-19 14:12:04 | 1.39 | 4.52 | 7.64 |
| 2026-09-19 14:12:05 | 1.41 | 4.63 | 7.62 |
| 2026-09-19 14:52:06 | 1.38 | 4.49 | 7.73 |
| 2026-09-19 14:52:07 | 1.40 | 4.54 | 7.49 |
| 2026-09-19 14:52:08 | 1.44 | 4.90 | 8.00 |
| 2026-09-19 15:32:06 | 1.38 | 4.50 | 7.68 |
| 2026-09-19 15:32:07 | 1.40 | 4.62 | 7.59 |
| 2026-09-19 16:12:08 | 1.39 | 4.52 | 7.64 |
| 2026-09-19 16:12:09 | 1.41 | 4.63 | 7.62 |
| 2026-09-19 16:52:05 | 1.39 | 4.56 | 7.63 |
| 2026-09-19 17:32:11 | 1.38 | 4.49 | 7.73 |
| 2026-09-19 17:32:12 | 1.39 | 4.51 | 7.50 |
| 2026-09-19 17:32:13 | 1.44 | 4.66 | 7.45 |
| 2026-09-19 17:32:14 | 1.44 | 4.90 | 8.00 |
| 2026-09-19 18:12:10 | 1.39 | 4.52 | 7.64 |
| 2026-09-19 18:12:11 | 1.39 | 4.53 | 7.49 |
| 2026-09-19 18:12:12 | 1.44 | 4.90 | 8.00 |
| 2026-09-19 18:52:10 | 1.39 | 4.52 | 7.64 |
| 2026-09-19 18:52:11 | 1.41 | 4.63 | 7.62 |
| 2026-09-19 19:32:06 | 1.36 | 5.02 | 9.61 |
| 2026-09-19 20:12:06 | 1.36 | 5.02 | 9.61 |
| 2026-09-19 20:52:06 | 1.36 | 5.02 | 9.61 |
| 2026-09-19 21:32:06 | 1.36 | 5.02 | 9.61 |
| 2026-09-19 22:12:05 | 1.36 | 5.02 | 9.61 |
| 2026-09-19 22:52:06 | 1.36 | 5.02 | 9.61 |
| 2026-09-19 23:32:06 | 1.36 | 5.02 | 9.61 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.20 | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1 | Chapecoense-sc |
| 2026.04.03 | Chapecoense-sc | 0 : 4 | Atletico-MG |