경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Serie A Brazil · Regular Season - 26

CorinthiansHOME · 1.45

1 : 22026.09.07 · 종료

Chapecoense-scAWAY · 7.40

HOME · 현재 순위 11위 승점 32 · 25경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 20위 승점 14 · 24경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.9%

DRAW22.8%

AWAY10.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 46.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +1.5%

VALUE EDGE+1.5%

FAIR ODDS1.49

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +38.1%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +38.9%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +29.5%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +5.6%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Corinthians분석 지표Chapecoense-sc

25.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 8.3%

0.92 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.92

1.25 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.00

33.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

7.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

88/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.3 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME65.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승80.0%표본 10경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승41.1%현재 이동 +5.5%

OPEN → NOW1.37 → 1.45배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:42:05

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

66.9%

DRAW

22.8%

AWAY

10.3%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Corinthians

L · 0-1L · 2-1W · 1-0L · 1-2D · 0-0

Chapecoense-sc

L · 3-1W · 1-0D · 3-3L · 2-1L · 2-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.38

→

CURRENT1.44

+4.36%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.58

→

CURRENT4.37

-4.51%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN8.36

→

CURRENT7.27

-12.98%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-06 09:02:04	1.38	4.58	8.36
2026-09-06 09:07:07	1.38	4.58	8.36
2026-09-06 09:17:05	1.38	4.58	8.36
2026-09-06 09:27:08	1.37	4.48	8.23
2026-09-06 09:27:09	1.39	4.77	8.63
2026-09-06 09:32:06	1.37	4.48	8.13
2026-09-06 09:32:07	1.38	4.68	8.58
2026-09-06 09:37:07	1.38	4.42	8.00
2026-09-06 09:37:08	1.38	4.66	8.54
2026-09-06 09:47:07	1.36	4.33	8.00
2026-09-06 09:47:08	1.38	4.63	8.43
2026-09-06 09:57:06	1.38	4.58	8.36
2026-09-06 10:02:03	1.38	4.58	8.36
2026-09-06 10:07:03	1.38	4.58	8.36
2026-09-06 10:17:08	1.38	4.58	8.36
2026-09-06 10:27:05	1.38	4.58	8.36
2026-09-06 10:32:05	1.38	4.58	8.36
2026-09-06 10:37:05	1.37	4.48	8.23
2026-09-06 10:37:06	1.39	4.77	8.63
2026-09-06 10:47:05	1.38	4.42	8.00
2026-09-06 10:47:06	1.38	4.66	8.54
2026-09-06 10:57:05	1.37	4.48	8.35
2026-09-06 10:57:06	1.39	4.80	8.75
2026-09-06 11:02:04	1.38	4.59	8.48
2026-09-06 11:07:08	1.38	4.59	8.48
2026-09-06 11:17:09	1.38	4.59	8.48
2026-09-06 11:27:09	1.38	4.59	8.48
2026-09-06 11:32:06	1.38	4.59	8.48
2026-09-06 11:37:07	1.37	4.48	8.13
2026-09-06 11:37:08	1.38	4.70	8.83
2026-09-06 11:47:05	1.38	4.59	8.48
2026-09-06 11:57:05	1.38	4.59	8.48
2026-09-06 12:02:03	1.38	4.59	8.48
2026-09-06 12:07:03	1.38	4.59	8.48
2026-09-06 12:17:06	1.38	4.59	8.48
2026-09-06 12:25:11	1.37	4.55	8.45
2026-09-06 12:25:12	1.40	4.76	8.65
2026-09-06 12:25:38	1.38	4.59	8.48
2026-09-06 12:26:35	1.37	4.55	8.45
2026-09-06 12:26:36	1.40	4.76	8.65
2026-09-06 12:27:08	1.38	4.59	8.48
2026-09-06 12:32:09	1.37	4.55	8.45
2026-09-06 12:32:10	1.40	4.76	8.65
2026-09-06 12:36:12	1.38	4.59	8.48
2026-09-06 12:37:09	1.38	4.59	8.48
2026-09-06 12:38:17	1.37	4.48	8.13
2026-09-06 12:38:18	1.38	4.70	8.83
2026-09-06 12:40:36	1.36	4.33	8.00
2026-09-06 12:40:37	1.38	4.61	8.56
2026-09-06 12:40:38	1.40	4.76	8.65
2026-09-06 13:02:04	1.38	4.59	8.48
2026-09-06 13:32:07	1.36	4.33	8.00
2026-09-06 13:32:08	1.38	4.64	8.58
2026-09-06 14:02:08	1.38	4.62	8.48
2026-09-06 14:32:06	1.37	4.59	8.45
2026-09-06 14:32:07	1.40	4.76	8.65
2026-09-06 15:02:06	1.38	4.45	8.00
2026-09-06 15:02:07	1.38	4.70	8.73
2026-09-06 15:32:03	1.38	4.62	8.48
2026-09-06 16:02:06	1.37	4.50	8.13
2026-09-06 16:02:07	1.38	4.73	8.83
2026-09-06 16:32:07	1.37	4.50	8.13
2026-09-06 16:32:08	1.38	4.73	8.83
2026-09-06 17:02:05	1.38	4.65	8.42
2026-09-06 17:32:09	1.38	4.65	8.42
2026-09-06 18:02:05	1.37	4.54	8.30
2026-09-06 18:02:06	1.39	4.87	8.67
2026-09-06 18:32:10	1.38	4.65	8.42
2026-09-06 19:12:06	1.37	4.52	8.07
2026-09-06 19:12:07	1.38	4.78	8.78
2026-09-06 19:52:09	1.36	4.40	8.00
2026-09-06 19:52:10	1.38	4.70	8.51
2026-09-06 20:32:05	1.39	4.59	7.99
2026-09-06 21:12:06	1.39	4.59	7.99
2026-09-06 21:42:05	1.39	4.59	7.99
2026-09-06 22:12:05	1.38	4.57	7.98
2026-09-06 22:12:06	1.42	4.69	8.00
2026-09-06 22:42:05	1.39	4.59	7.99
2026-09-06 23:12:05	1.44	4.37	7.27
2026-09-06 23:42:05	1.44	4.37	7.27

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.07	Corinthians	1 : 2	Chapecoense-sc
2026.03.20	Chapecoense-sc	0 : 0	Corinthians

부상 / 결장

Bruno PachecoChapecoense-sc · Yellow Cards

Missing Fixture

Bruno TubaraoChapecoense-sc · Inactive

Missing Fixture

Joao PauloChapecoense-sc · Health problems

Missing Fixture

Max AlvesChapecoense-sc · Injury

Missing Fixture

Rafael CarvalheiraChapecoense-sc · Knee Injury

Missing Fixture

Robert ConceicaoChapecoense-sc · Knee Injury

Questionable

Vinicius BalieiroChapecoense-sc · Inactive

Missing Fixture

Y. BolasieChapecoense-sc · Injury

Questionable

AndreCorinthians · Muscle Injury

Missing Fixture

Andre RamalhoCorinthians · Inactive

Missing Fixture

Gabriel PaulistaCorinthians · Yellow Cards

Missing Fixture

Hugo SouzaCorinthians · Yellow Cards

Missing Fixture

KaykeCorinthians · Knee Injury

Missing Fixture

RanieleCorinthians · Yellow Cards

Missing Fixture

VitinhoCorinthians · Knee Injury

Missing Fixture

Yuri AlbertoCorinthians · Muscle Injury

Missing Fixture

Z. LabyadCorinthians · Knee Injury

Missing Fixture

경기 통계

경기 통계가 아직 없습니다. 경기 전/라이브 coverage에 따라 수집됩니다.

분석 주의사항

표본 수가 작을 때 역사적 승률은 모델에서 자동으로 낮은 가중치를 받습니다. 현재 확률은 확정 결과가 아니라 시장 데이터와 누적 경기 결과를 결합한 분석값입니다.