경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Serie A Brazil · Regular Season - 26

BotafogoHOME · 3.45

0 : 02026.09.07 · 종료

PalmeirasAWAY · 2.05

HOME · 현재 순위 13위 승점 30 · 24경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 2위 승점 52 · 25경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME17.3%

DRAW21.1%

AWAY61.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH89 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 46.2% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +15.6%

VALUE EDGE+15.6%

FAIR ODDS1.62

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM EVEN +2.4%p

HOME_AWAY EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -34.9%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -14.4%p

INJURIES EVEN +1.8%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE

Botafogo분석 지표Palmeiras

25.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

0.92 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.50

1.75 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.75

28.6% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

7.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.9일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

89/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도10.6 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME27.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승27.7%표본 94경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승39.1%현재 이동 +9.2%

OPEN → NOW3.16 → 3.45배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:42:05

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

17.3%

DRAW

21.1%

AWAY

61.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Botafogo

L · 3-0L · 2-3W · 1-0L · 1-0L · 6-1

Palmeiras

D · 0-0D · 1-1W · 3-0W · 4-1W · 0-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.24

→

CURRENT3.45

+6.59%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.43

→

CURRENT3.49

+1.70%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.16

→

CURRENT2.06

-4.85%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-06 08:57:05	3.24	3.43	2.16
2026-09-06 09:02:04	3.24	3.43	2.16
2026-09-06 09:07:06	3.21	3.39	2.16
2026-09-06 09:07:07	3.30	3.53	2.18
2026-09-06 09:17:05	3.24	3.43	2.16
2026-09-06 09:27:07	3.20	3.30	2.18
2026-09-06 09:27:08	3.25	3.50	2.16
2026-09-06 09:32:06	3.24	3.43	2.16
2026-09-06 09:37:06	3.20	3.30	2.18
2026-09-06 09:37:07	3.25	3.50	2.16
2026-09-06 09:47:06	3.21	3.39	2.16
2026-09-06 09:47:07	3.30	3.53	2.18
2026-09-06 09:57:05	3.24	3.43	2.16
2026-09-06 10:02:02	3.21	3.39	2.16
2026-09-06 10:02:03	3.30	3.53	2.18
2026-09-06 10:07:03	3.24	3.43	2.16
2026-09-06 10:17:07	3.21	3.39	2.16
2026-09-06 10:17:08	3.30	3.53	2.18
2026-09-06 10:27:05	3.24	3.43	2.16
2026-09-06 10:32:05	3.24	3.43	2.16
2026-09-06 10:37:05	3.24	3.43	2.16
2026-09-06 10:47:05	3.24	3.43	2.16
2026-09-06 10:57:05	3.24	3.44	2.17
2026-09-06 11:02:04	3.24	3.44	2.17
2026-09-06 11:07:06	3.20	3.30	2.18
2026-09-06 11:07:07	3.26	3.51	2.17
2026-09-06 11:17:08	3.24	3.44	2.17
2026-09-06 11:27:09	3.24	3.44	2.17
2026-09-06 11:32:05	3.23	3.41	2.17
2026-09-06 11:32:06	3.29	3.58	2.18
2026-09-06 11:37:06	3.20	3.40	2.16
2026-09-06 11:37:07	3.31	3.53	2.20
2026-09-06 11:47:05	3.24	3.44	2.17
2026-09-06 11:57:04	3.24	3.44	2.17
2026-09-06 12:02:03	3.24	3.44	2.17
2026-09-06 12:07:03	3.24	3.44	2.17
2026-09-06 12:17:06	3.24	3.44	2.17
2026-09-06 12:25:10	3.10	3.30	2.15
2026-09-06 12:25:11	3.26	3.47	2.17
2026-09-06 12:25:37	3.10	3.30	2.15
2026-09-06 12:25:38	3.26	3.47	2.17
2026-09-06 12:26:35	3.24	3.44	2.17
2026-09-06 12:27:06	3.10	3.30	2.15
2026-09-06 12:27:07	3.26	3.47	2.17
2026-09-06 12:32:08	3.23	3.41	2.17
2026-09-06 12:32:09	3.29	3.58	2.18
2026-09-06 12:36:10	3.10	3.30	2.15
2026-09-06 12:36:11	3.26	3.47	2.17
2026-09-06 12:37:08	3.24	3.44	2.17
2026-09-06 12:38:17	3.24	3.44	2.17
2026-09-06 12:40:35	3.20	3.30	2.18
2026-09-06 12:40:36	3.26	3.51	2.17
2026-09-06 13:02:04	3.24	3.44	2.17
2026-09-06 13:32:07	3.24	3.44	2.17
2026-09-06 14:02:07	3.23	3.41	2.17
2026-09-06 14:02:08	3.29	3.58	2.18
2026-09-06 14:32:06	3.24	3.44	2.17
2026-09-06 15:02:06	3.24	3.44	2.17
2026-09-06 15:32:03	3.24	3.44	2.17
2026-09-06 16:02:06	3.24	3.44	2.17
2026-09-06 16:32:06	3.20	3.30	2.18
2026-09-06 16:32:07	3.26	3.51	2.17
2026-09-06 17:02:04	3.20	3.36	2.16
2026-09-06 17:02:05	3.27	3.53	2.18
2026-09-06 17:32:08	3.20	3.30	2.18
2026-09-06 17:32:09	3.25	3.52	2.17
2026-09-06 18:02:05	3.23	3.45	2.17
2026-09-06 18:32:09	3.23	3.45	2.17
2026-09-06 19:12:06	3.23	3.45	2.17
2026-09-06 19:52:09	3.23	3.45	2.17
2026-09-06 20:32:04	3.22	3.42	2.17
2026-09-06 20:32:05	3.29	3.58	2.18
2026-09-06 21:12:05	3.20	3.30	2.18
2026-09-06 21:12:06	3.25	3.52	2.17
2026-09-06 21:42:05	3.23	3.45	2.17
2026-09-06 22:12:04	3.20	3.40	2.16
2026-09-06 22:12:05	3.30	3.55	2.20
2026-09-06 22:42:05	3.23	3.45	2.17
2026-09-06 23:12:05	3.45	3.49	2.06
2026-09-06 23:42:05	3.45	3.49	2.06

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.07	Botafogo	0 : 0	Palmeiras
2026.03.19	Palmeiras	2 : 1	Botafogo
2025.08.18	Botafogo	0 : 1	Palmeiras
2025.03.31	Palmeiras	0 : 0	Botafogo
2024.11.27	Palmeiras	1 : 3	Botafogo
2024.07.18	Botafogo	1 : 0	Palmeiras