경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Serie A Brazil · Regular Season - 21

BotafogoHOME · 1.70

3 : 22026.09.17 · 종료

GremioAWAY · 4.65

HOME · 현재 순위 14위 승점 32 · 26경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 16위 승점 28 · 26경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME44.2%

DRAW29.5%

AWAY26.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH89 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 36.7% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +6.1%

VALUE EDGE+6.1%

FAIR ODDS3.81

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 73/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +24.1%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +19.4%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +6.2%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -1.1%p

INJURIES EVEN -1.8%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE

Botafogo분석 지표Gremio

16.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

0.67 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.00

1.58 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.00

14.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

89/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도11.7 / 15

예측 분리도6.3 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME55.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승58.8%표본 68경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승66.7%표본 3경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.3%현재 이동 -1.2%

OPEN → NOW1.72 → 1.70배당 업데이트 2026-09-16 23:52:01

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

44.2%

DRAW

29.5%

AWAY

26.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Botafogo

D · 1-1D · 0-0L · 3-0L · 2-3W · 1-0

Gremio

L · 1-2L · 1-0W · 3-1W · 3-1D · 0-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.70

→

CURRENT1.71

+0.92%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.72

→

CURRENT3.75

+0.69%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.66

→

CURRENT4.66

-0.12%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-16 01:02:02	1.70	3.72	4.66
2026-09-16 01:12:01	1.70	3.72	4.66
2026-09-16 01:22:01	1.70	3.65	4.72
2026-09-16 01:22:02	1.70	3.76	4.64
2026-09-16 01:32:02	1.70	3.72	4.66
2026-09-16 01:42:01	1.70	3.72	4.66
2026-09-16 01:52:01	1.70	3.72	4.66
2026-09-16 02:02:02	1.70	3.72	4.66
2026-09-16 02:12:02	1.70	3.72	4.66
2026-09-16 02:22:01	1.70	3.72	4.66
2026-09-16 02:32:01	1.70	3.72	4.66
2026-09-16 02:42:02	1.70	3.72	4.66
2026-09-16 02:52:01	1.70	3.63	4.75
2026-09-16 02:52:02	1.70	3.75	4.64
2026-09-16 03:12:01	1.70	3.72	4.66
2026-09-16 03:32:02	1.70	3.72	4.66
2026-09-16 03:52:01	1.71	3.70	4.61
2026-09-16 04:12:02	1.71	3.70	4.61
2026-09-16 04:32:02	1.71	3.70	4.61
2026-09-16 04:52:02	1.71	3.70	4.61
2026-09-16 05:12:01	1.71	3.70	4.61
2026-09-16 05:32:02	1.71	3.70	4.61
2026-09-16 05:52:02	1.71	3.70	4.61
2026-09-16 06:12:01	1.71	3.69	4.59
2026-09-16 06:12:02	1.75	3.75	4.80
2026-09-16 06:32:02	1.71	3.70	4.61
2026-09-16 06:52:02	1.71	3.70	4.61
2026-09-16 07:12:01	1.71	3.70	4.61
2026-09-16 07:32:02	1.70	3.63	4.75
2026-09-16 07:32:03	1.72	3.72	4.57
2026-09-16 07:52:02	1.71	3.70	4.61
2026-09-16 08:12:01	1.71	3.70	4.61
2026-09-16 08:32:01	1.71	3.70	4.61
2026-09-16 08:52:02	1.71	3.70	4.61
2026-09-16 09:12:02	1.71	3.70	4.61
2026-09-16 09:32:02	1.71	3.70	4.61
2026-09-16 09:52:02	1.72	3.68	4.65
2026-09-16 10:12:01	1.72	3.68	4.65
2026-09-16 10:32:02	1.72	3.68	4.65
2026-09-16 10:52:01	1.72	3.68	4.65
2026-09-16 11:12:01	1.72	3.68	4.65
2026-09-16 11:32:01	1.72	3.68	4.65
2026-09-16 11:52:01	1.72	3.68	4.65
2026-09-16 12:12:02	1.72	3.68	4.65
2026-09-16 12:32:01	1.70	3.61	4.71
2026-09-16 12:32:02	1.73	3.74	4.61
2026-09-16 12:52:02	1.72	3.68	4.63
2026-09-16 13:12:01	1.72	3.68	4.63
2026-09-16 13:32:02	1.72	3.68	4.63
2026-09-16 13:52:02	1.72	3.68	4.63
2026-09-16 14:12:01	1.72	3.68	4.63
2026-09-16 14:32:02	1.72	3.68	4.63
2026-09-16 14:52:02	1.72	3.68	4.63
2026-09-16 15:12:02	1.72	3.68	4.63
2026-09-16 15:32:02	1.72	3.68	4.63
2026-09-16 15:52:02	1.70	3.77	4.73
2026-09-16 16:12:02	1.70	3.77	4.73
2026-09-16 16:32:02	1.70	3.77	4.73
2026-09-16 16:52:02	1.70	3.77	4.73
2026-09-16 17:12:02	1.70	3.77	4.73
2026-09-16 17:32:01	1.70	3.77	4.73
2026-09-16 17:52:02	1.70	3.77	4.73
2026-09-16 18:12:01	1.70	3.77	4.73
2026-09-16 18:32:02	1.70	3.77	4.73
2026-09-16 18:52:02	1.70	3.83	4.76
2026-09-16 19:12:00	1.70	3.83	4.76
2026-09-16 19:32:02	1.70	3.83	4.76
2026-09-16 19:52:02	1.70	3.83	4.76
2026-09-16 20:12:02	1.70	3.83	4.76
2026-09-16 20:32:02	1.70	3.83	4.76
2026-09-16 20:52:01	1.70	3.83	4.76
2026-09-16 21:12:01	1.70	3.83	4.76
2026-09-16 21:32:02	1.70	3.83	4.76
2026-09-16 21:52:02	1.71	3.75	4.66
2026-09-16 22:12:02	1.71	3.75	4.66
2026-09-16 22:32:02	1.71	3.75	4.66
2026-09-16 22:52:01	1.71	3.75	4.66
2026-09-16 23:12:02	1.71	3.75	4.66
2026-09-16 23:32:02	1.71	3.75	4.66
2026-09-16 23:52:01	1.71	3.75	4.66

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.17	Botafogo	3 : 2	Gremio
2026.02.05	Gremio	5 : 3	Botafogo
2025.11.23	Botafogo	3 : 2	Gremio
2025.09.25	Gremio	1 : 1	Botafogo
2024.09.29	Botafogo	0 : 0	Gremio
2024.06.17	Gremio	1 : 2	Botafogo