LIVE 30 오늘 287경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina · Clausura - 11
Defensa Y JusticiaHOME · 2.09
3 : 02026.10.04 · 종료
San LorenzoAWAY · 4.00
HOME · 현재 순위 2위 승점 21 · 11경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 11위 승점 11 · 11경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME46.6%
DRAW34.5%
AWAY18.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH87 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 39.3% CAL
VALUE PICK DRAW +2.8%
VALUE EDGE+2.8%
FAIR ODDS2.90
GRADEC
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 77/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +44.2%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +30.6%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +2.6%p
H2H HOME +66.7%p
REST HOME +5.0%p
MARKET HOME +21.4%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Defensa Y Justicia분석 지표San Lorenzo
41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%
1.25 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.42
1.42 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.83
80.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%
14.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 13.0일
API Prediction 없음 Lineups 없음 Injuries 없음 Statistics 없음
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

87/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지17.3 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본7.5 / 10
모델 일치도13.8 / 15
예측 분리도5.2 / 15
데이터 신선도7.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보1.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME44.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승55.6%표본 9경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승47.0%현재 이동 -0.5%
OPEN → NOW2.10 → 2.09배당 업데이트 2026-10-03 15:32:03

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
46.6%
DRAW
34.5%
AWAY
18.9%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Defensa Y Justicia
D · 2-2W · 2-0L · 1-0W · 1-0W · 1-2
San Lorenzo
L · 0-2D · 1-1W · 1-0L · 1-0D · 0-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+8.0%+4.0%0.0%-4.0%-8.0%10/03 00:0210/03 02:4210/03 09:2210/03 11:5210/03 15:32HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:02:03HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 -0.20% · 2026-10-03 00:04:42HOME · 배당 2.12 · 변동 +0.71% · 2026-10-03 00:04:43HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:42:02HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:12:02HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 -0.05% · 2026-10-03 01:42:02HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 -1.19% · 2026-10-03 02:12:02HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 +0.27% · 2026-10-03 02:12:03HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 -0.05% · 2026-10-03 02:42:03HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 -0.05% · 2026-10-03 03:12:02HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 -0.05% · 2026-10-03 03:42:02HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 -0.05% · 2026-10-03 04:12:02HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 -0.05% · 2026-10-03 04:42:02HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 -0.05% · 2026-10-03 05:12:03HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 -0.05% · 2026-10-03 05:42:02HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 -0.05% · 2026-10-03 06:12:02HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 -0.21% · 2026-10-03 09:22:02HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 -1.19% · 2026-10-03 09:52:02HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +0.07% · 2026-10-03 09:52:03HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 -0.21% · 2026-10-03 10:22:03HOME · 배당 2.05 · 변동 -2.38% · 2026-10-03 10:52:02HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +0.14% · 2026-10-03 10:52:03HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-03 11:22:03HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-03 11:52:02HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-03 12:22:03HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-03 12:52:02HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-03 13:22:03HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-03 13:52:03HOME · 배당 2.06 · 변동 -1.90% · 2026-10-03 14:22:02HOME · 배당 2.12 · 변동 +0.76% · 2026-10-03 14:22:03HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-03 14:52:03HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-03 15:32:03DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:02:03DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -0.10% · 2026-10-03 00:04:42DRAW · 배당 2.97 · 변동 +0.36% · 2026-10-03 00:04:43DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:42:02DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:12:02DRAW · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-10-03 01:42:02DRAW · 배당 2.94 · 변동 -0.49% · 2026-10-03 02:12:02DRAW · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-10-03 02:12:03DRAW · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-10-03 02:42:03DRAW · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-10-03 03:12:02DRAW · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-10-03 03:42:02DRAW · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-10-03 04:12:02DRAW · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-10-03 04:42:02DRAW · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-10-03 05:12:03DRAW · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-10-03 05:42:02DRAW · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-10-03 06:12:02DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -0.11% · 2026-10-03 09:22:02DRAW · 배당 2.94 · 변동 -0.49% · 2026-10-03 09:52:02DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -0.01% · 2026-10-03 09:52:03DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -0.11% · 2026-10-03 10:22:03DRAW · 배당 2.94 · 변동 -0.49% · 2026-10-03 10:52:02DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -0.05% · 2026-10-03 10:52:03DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -0.15% · 2026-10-03 11:22:03DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -0.15% · 2026-10-03 11:52:02DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -0.15% · 2026-10-03 12:22:03DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -0.15% · 2026-10-03 12:52:02DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -0.15% · 2026-10-03 13:22:03DRAW · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.23% · 2026-10-03 13:52:03DRAW · 배당 2.97 · 변동 +0.36% · 2026-10-03 14:22:02DRAW · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.12% · 2026-10-03 14:22:03DRAW · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.23% · 2026-10-03 14:52:03DRAW · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.23% · 2026-10-03 15:32:03AWAY · 배당 3.92 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:02:03AWAY · 배당 3.86 · 변동 -1.72% · 2026-10-03 00:04:42AWAY · 배당 4.16 · 변동 +6.03% · 2026-10-03 00:04:43AWAY · 배당 3.92 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:42:02AWAY · 배당 3.92 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:12:02AWAY · 배당 3.92 · 변동 -0.08% · 2026-10-03 01:42:02AWAY · 배당 3.98 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-03 02:12:02AWAY · 배당 3.90 · 변동 -0.49% · 2026-10-03 02:12:03AWAY · 배당 3.92 · 변동 -0.08% · 2026-10-03 02:42:03AWAY · 배당 3.92 · 변동 -0.08% · 2026-10-03 03:12:02AWAY · 배당 3.92 · 변동 -0.08% · 2026-10-03 03:42:02AWAY · 배당 3.92 · 변동 -0.08% · 2026-10-03 04:12:02AWAY · 배당 3.92 · 변동 -0.08% · 2026-10-03 04:42:02AWAY · 배당 3.92 · 변동 -0.08% · 2026-10-03 05:12:03AWAY · 배당 3.92 · 변동 -0.08% · 2026-10-03 05:42:02AWAY · 배당 3.92 · 변동 -0.08% · 2026-10-03 06:12:02AWAY · 배당 3.93 · 변동 +0.08% · 2026-10-03 09:22:02AWAY · 배당 3.98 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-03 09:52:02AWAY · 배당 3.91 · 변동 -0.27% · 2026-10-03 09:52:03AWAY · 배당 3.93 · 변동 +0.08% · 2026-10-03 10:22:03AWAY · 배당 4.05 · 변동 +3.23% · 2026-10-03 10:52:02AWAY · 배당 3.91 · 변동 -0.34% · 2026-10-03 10:52:03AWAY · 배당 3.94 · 변동 +0.45% · 2026-10-03 11:22:03AWAY · 배당 3.94 · 변동 +0.45% · 2026-10-03 11:52:02AWAY · 배당 3.94 · 변동 +0.45% · 2026-10-03 12:22:03AWAY · 배당 3.94 · 변동 +0.45% · 2026-10-03 12:52:02AWAY · 배당 3.94 · 변동 +0.45% · 2026-10-03 13:22:03AWAY · 배당 3.92 · 변동 -0.11% · 2026-10-03 13:52:03AWAY · 배당 3.94 · 변동 +0.36% · 2026-10-03 14:22:02AWAY · 배당 3.90 · 변동 -0.49% · 2026-10-03 14:22:03AWAY · 배당 3.92 · 변동 -0.11% · 2026-10-03 14:52:03AWAY · 배당 3.92 · 변동 -0.11% · 2026-10-03 15:32:03
HOME32 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.10
→
CURRENT2.09
-0.42%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW32 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.95
→
CURRENT2.96
+0.23%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY32 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.92
→
CURRENT3.92
-0.11%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-10-03 00:02:032.102.953.92
2026-10-03 00:04:422.102.953.86
2026-10-03 00:04:432.122.974.16
2026-10-03 00:42:022.102.953.92
2026-10-03 01:12:022.102.953.92
2026-10-03 01:42:022.102.963.92
2026-10-03 02:12:022.082.943.98
2026-10-03 02:12:032.112.963.90
2026-10-03 02:42:032.102.963.92
2026-10-03 03:12:022.102.963.92
2026-10-03 03:42:022.102.963.92
2026-10-03 04:12:022.102.963.92
2026-10-03 04:42:022.102.963.92
2026-10-03 05:12:032.102.963.92
2026-10-03 05:42:022.102.963.92
2026-10-03 06:12:022.102.963.92
2026-10-03 09:22:022.102.953.93
2026-10-03 09:52:022.082.943.98
2026-10-03 09:52:032.102.953.91
2026-10-03 10:22:032.102.953.93
2026-10-03 10:52:022.052.944.05
2026-10-03 10:52:032.102.953.91
2026-10-03 11:22:032.092.953.94
2026-10-03 11:52:022.092.953.94
2026-10-03 12:22:032.092.953.94
2026-10-03 12:52:022.092.953.94
2026-10-03 13:22:032.092.953.94
2026-10-03 13:52:032.092.963.92
2026-10-03 14:22:022.062.973.94
2026-10-03 14:22:032.122.963.90
2026-10-03 14:52:032.092.963.92
2026-10-03 15:32:032.092.963.92

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.04Defensa Y Justicia3 : 0San Lorenzo
2026.03.17San Lorenzo2 : 5Defensa Y Justicia
2024.09.22Defensa Y Justicia0 : 0San Lorenzo
2024.04.08San Lorenzo0 : 2Defensa Y Justicia