LIVE 306 오늘 1,086경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기
Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina · Clausura - 9
IndependienteHOME · 2.11
1 : 12026.09.14 · 종료
San LorenzoAWAY · 3.86
HOME · 현재 순위 8위 승점 13 · 8경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 11위 승점 10 · 8경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME46.9%
DRAW32.1%
AWAY21.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH87 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100
AI PICK HOME 39.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +2.4%
VALUE EDGE+2.4%
FAIR ODDS2.13
GRADEC
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 80/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +26.5%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +27.8%p
STANDING_PPG HOME +4.1%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +4.5%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE
Independiente분석 지표San Lorenzo
50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%
1.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.33
1.25 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.00
20.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%
7.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 8.0일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

87/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본10.0 / 10
모델 일치도12.1 / 15
예측 분리도6.3 / 15
데이터 신선도10.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME44.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승27.3%표본 22경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승40.5%현재 이동 +5.2%
OPEN → NOW2.00 → 2.11배당 업데이트 2026-09-13 23:42:17

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
46.9%
DRAW
32.1%
AWAY
21.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Independiente
W · 0-1L · 0-3D · 0-0W · 1-3L · 4-0
San Lorenzo
W · 1-0L · 1-0D · 0-0W · 1-0L · 0-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+16.0%+8.0%0.0%-8.0%-16.0%09/12 00:1509/13 04:4209/13 11:1209/13 17:5209/13 23:42HOME · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 00:15:04HOME · 배당 2.05 · 변동 +2.50% · 2026-09-13 00:12:06HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +4.00% · 2026-09-13 00:12:07HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +3.81% · 2026-09-13 00:42:18HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +3.88% · 2026-09-13 01:12:13HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +3.75% · 2026-09-13 01:12:14HOME · 배당 2.05 · 변동 +2.50% · 2026-09-13 01:42:20HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +4.00% · 2026-09-13 01:42:21HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +4.21% · 2026-09-13 02:12:12HOME · 배당 2.02 · 변동 +1.00% · 2026-09-13 02:12:13HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +3.88% · 2026-09-13 02:42:19HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +3.75% · 2026-09-13 02:42:20HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 +4.56% · 2026-09-13 03:12:06HOME · 배당 2.05 · 변동 +2.50% · 2026-09-13 03:42:11HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +4.86% · 2026-09-13 03:42:12HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 +4.56% · 2026-09-13 04:12:04HOME · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +3.67% · 2026-09-13 04:42:05HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +5.10% · 2026-09-13 04:42:06HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 +4.56% · 2026-09-13 05:12:13HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 +4.56% · 2026-09-13 05:42:13HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 +4.25% · 2026-09-13 06:12:06HOME · 배당 2.05 · 변동 +2.50% · 2026-09-13 06:42:23HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 +4.60% · 2026-09-13 06:42:24HOME · 배당 2.12 · 변동 +6.00% · 2026-09-13 06:42:25HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 +4.25% · 2026-09-13 07:12:07HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 +4.25% · 2026-09-13 07:42:11HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 +4.25% · 2026-09-13 08:12:10HOME · 배당 2.05 · 변동 +2.50% · 2026-09-13 08:42:14HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +4.83% · 2026-09-13 08:42:15HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +3.81% · 2026-09-13 09:12:04HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +3.81% · 2026-09-13 09:42:11HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +3.81% · 2026-09-13 10:12:05HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +3.81% · 2026-09-13 10:42:05HOME · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +3.33% · 2026-09-13 11:12:12HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 +5.25% · 2026-09-13 11:12:13HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +3.81% · 2026-09-13 11:42:06HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +3.81% · 2026-09-13 12:12:06HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +3.81% · 2026-09-13 12:42:19HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +3.81% · 2026-09-13 13:12:05HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +3.81% · 2026-09-13 13:42:06HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +3.81% · 2026-09-13 14:12:05HOME · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +3.33% · 2026-09-13 14:42:13HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 +5.25% · 2026-09-13 14:42:14HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 +4.69% · 2026-09-13 15:12:04HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 +4.69% · 2026-09-13 15:52:11HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +3.83% · 2026-09-13 16:32:27HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 +4.67% · 2026-09-13 16:32:28HOME · 배당 2.12 · 변동 +6.00% · 2026-09-13 16:32:29HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 +4.69% · 2026-09-13 17:12:18HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +3.75% · 2026-09-13 17:52:19HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +5.00% · 2026-09-13 17:52:20HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +3.75% · 2026-09-13 18:32:26HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +5.00% · 2026-09-13 18:32:27HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 +4.69% · 2026-09-13 19:12:15HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 +4.50% · 2026-09-13 19:52:24HOME · 배당 2.12 · 변동 +6.00% · 2026-09-13 19:52:25HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +4.13% · 2026-09-13 20:32:15HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 +5.25% · 2026-09-13 20:32:16HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 +5.33% · 2026-09-13 21:12:09HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +6.75% · 2026-09-13 21:12:10HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 +5.69% · 2026-09-13 21:42:18HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 +5.69% · 2026-09-13 22:12:13HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 +5.69% · 2026-09-13 22:42:20HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 +5.69% · 2026-09-13 23:12:05HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 +5.33% · 2026-09-13 23:42:16HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +6.75% · 2026-09-13 23:42:17DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 00:15:04DRAW · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -6.60% · 2026-09-13 00:12:06DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 -2.22% · 2026-09-13 00:12:07DRAW · 배당 2.92 · 변동 -2.77% · 2026-09-13 00:42:18DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 -2.27% · 2026-09-13 01:12:13DRAW · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -3.27% · 2026-09-13 01:12:14DRAW · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -6.60% · 2026-09-13 01:42:20DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 -2.22% · 2026-09-13 01:42:21DRAW · 배당 2.91 · 변동 -2.94% · 2026-09-13 02:12:12DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -1.60% · 2026-09-13 02:12:13DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 -2.27% · 2026-09-13 02:42:19DRAW · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -3.27% · 2026-09-13 02:42:20DRAW · 배당 2.92 · 변동 -2.69% · 2026-09-13 03:12:06DRAW · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -6.60% · 2026-09-13 03:42:11DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 -2.13% · 2026-09-13 03:42:12DRAW · 배당 2.92 · 변동 -2.69% · 2026-09-13 04:12:04DRAW · 배당 2.91 · 변동 -2.94% · 2026-09-13 04:42:05DRAW · 배당 2.92 · 변동 -2.54% · 2026-09-13 04:42:06DRAW · 배당 2.92 · 변동 -2.69% · 2026-09-13 05:12:13DRAW · 배당 2.92 · 변동 -2.69% · 2026-09-13 05:42:13DRAW · 배당 2.94 · 변동 -2.10% · 2026-09-13 06:12:06DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -1.60% · 2026-09-13 06:42:23DRAW · 배당 2.92 · 변동 -2.74% · 2026-09-13 06:42:24DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +0.07% · 2026-09-13 06:42:25DRAW · 배당 2.94 · 변동 -2.10% · 2026-09-13 07:12:07DRAW · 배당 2.94 · 변동 -2.10% · 2026-09-13 07:42:11DRAW · 배당 2.94 · 변동 -2.10% · 2026-09-13 08:12:10DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -1.60% · 2026-09-13 08:42:14DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 -2.27% · 2026-09-13 08:42:15DRAW · 배당 2.94 · 변동 -2.06% · 2026-09-13 09:12:04DRAW · 배당 2.94 · 변동 -2.06% · 2026-09-13 09:42:11DRAW · 배당 2.94 · 변동 -2.06% · 2026-09-13 10:12:05DRAW · 배당 2.94 · 변동 -2.06% · 2026-09-13 10:42:05DRAW · 배당 2.92 · 변동 -2.66% · 2026-09-13 11:12:12DRAW · 배당 2.99 · 변동 -0.27% · 2026-09-13 11:12:13DRAW · 배당 2.94 · 변동 -2.06% · 2026-09-13 11:42:06DRAW · 배당 2.94 · 변동 -2.06% · 2026-09-13 12:12:06DRAW · 배당 2.94 · 변동 -2.06% · 2026-09-13 12:42:19DRAW · 배당 2.94 · 변동 -2.06% · 2026-09-13 13:12:05DRAW · 배당 2.94 · 변동 -2.06% · 2026-09-13 13:42:06DRAW · 배당 2.94 · 변동 -2.06% · 2026-09-13 14:12:05DRAW · 배당 2.92 · 변동 -2.66% · 2026-09-13 14:42:13DRAW · 배당 2.99 · 변동 -0.27% · 2026-09-13 14:42:14DRAW · 배당 2.91 · 변동 -2.85% · 2026-09-13 15:12:04DRAW · 배당 2.91 · 변동 -2.85% · 2026-09-13 15:52:11DRAW · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -3.16% · 2026-09-13 16:32:27DRAW · 배당 2.89 · 변동 -3.49% · 2026-09-13 16:32:28DRAW · 배당 2.96 · 변동 -1.43% · 2026-09-13 16:32:29DRAW · 배당 2.91 · 변동 -2.85% · 2026-09-13 17:12:18DRAW · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -3.27% · 2026-09-13 17:52:19DRAW · 배당 2.92 · 변동 -2.71% · 2026-09-13 17:52:20DRAW · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -3.27% · 2026-09-13 18:32:26DRAW · 배당 2.92 · 변동 -2.71% · 2026-09-13 18:32:27DRAW · 배당 2.91 · 변동 -2.85% · 2026-09-13 19:12:15DRAW · 배당 2.91 · 변동 -3.03% · 2026-09-13 19:52:24DRAW · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -1.60% · 2026-09-13 19:52:25DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 -2.35% · 2026-09-13 20:32:15DRAW · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -3.35% · 2026-09-13 20:32:16DRAW · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -3.32% · 2026-09-13 21:12:09DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.60% · 2026-09-13 21:12:10DRAW · 배당 2.92 · 변동 -2.64% · 2026-09-13 21:42:18DRAW · 배당 2.92 · 변동 -2.64% · 2026-09-13 22:12:13DRAW · 배당 2.92 · 변동 -2.64% · 2026-09-13 22:42:20DRAW · 배당 2.92 · 변동 -2.64% · 2026-09-13 23:12:05DRAW · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -3.32% · 2026-09-13 23:42:16DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.60% · 2026-09-13 23:42:17AWAY · 배당 4.30 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 00:15:04AWAY · 배당 4.00 · 변동 -6.89% · 2026-09-13 00:12:06AWAY · 배당 4.02 · 변동 -6.32% · 2026-09-13 00:12:07AWAY · 배당 4.02 · 변동 -6.40% · 2026-09-13 00:42:18AWAY · 배당 4.00 · 변동 -6.89% · 2026-09-13 01:12:13AWAY · 배당 4.04 · 변동 -5.90% · 2026-09-13 01:12:14AWAY · 배당 4.00 · 변동 -6.89% · 2026-09-13 01:42:20AWAY · 배당 4.02 · 변동 -6.32% · 2026-09-13 01:42:21AWAY · 배당 3.94 · 변동 -8.32% · 2026-09-13 02:12:12AWAY · 배당 4.60 · 변동 +7.08% · 2026-09-13 02:12:13AWAY · 배당 4.00 · 변동 -6.89% · 2026-09-13 02:42:19AWAY · 배당 4.04 · 변동 -5.90% · 2026-09-13 02:42:20AWAY · 배당 3.95 · 변동 -8.02% · 2026-09-13 03:12:06AWAY · 배당 4.00 · 변동 -6.89% · 2026-09-13 03:42:11AWAY · 배당 3.94 · 변동 -8.19% · 2026-09-13 03:42:12AWAY · 배당 3.95 · 변동 -8.02% · 2026-09-13 04:12:04AWAY · 배당 4.02 · 변동 -6.50% · 2026-09-13 04:42:05AWAY · 배당 3.91 · 변동 -8.94% · 2026-09-13 04:42:06AWAY · 배당 3.95 · 변동 -8.02% · 2026-09-13 05:12:13AWAY · 배당 3.95 · 변동 -8.02% · 2026-09-13 05:42:13AWAY · 배당 3.98 · 변동 -7.44% · 2026-09-13 06:12:06AWAY · 배당 4.10 · 변동 -4.56% · 2026-09-13 06:42:23AWAY · 배당 3.89 · 변동 -9.40% · 2026-09-13 06:42:24AWAY · 배당 4.15 · 변동 -3.40% · 2026-09-13 06:42:25AWAY · 배당 3.98 · 변동 -7.44% · 2026-09-13 07:12:07AWAY · 배당 3.98 · 변동 -7.44% · 2026-09-13 07:42:11AWAY · 배당 3.98 · 변동 -7.44% · 2026-09-13 08:12:10AWAY · 배당 4.10 · 변동 -4.56% · 2026-09-13 08:42:14AWAY · 배당 3.94 · 변동 -8.40% · 2026-09-13 08:42:15AWAY · 배당 3.97 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-09-13 09:12:04AWAY · 배당 3.97 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-09-13 09:42:11AWAY · 배당 3.97 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-09-13 10:12:05AWAY · 배당 3.97 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-09-13 10:42:05AWAY · 배당 3.92 · 변동 -8.67% · 2026-09-13 11:12:12AWAY · 배당 4.11 · 변동 -4.33% · 2026-09-13 11:12:13AWAY · 배당 3.97 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-09-13 11:42:06AWAY · 배당 3.97 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-09-13 12:12:06AWAY · 배당 3.97 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-09-13 12:42:19AWAY · 배당 3.97 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-09-13 13:12:05AWAY · 배당 3.97 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-09-13 13:42:06AWAY · 배당 3.97 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-09-13 14:12:05AWAY · 배당 3.92 · 변동 -8.67% · 2026-09-13 14:42:13AWAY · 배당 4.11 · 변동 -4.33% · 2026-09-13 14:42:14AWAY · 배당 3.94 · 변동 -8.32% · 2026-09-13 15:12:04AWAY · 배당 3.94 · 변동 -8.32% · 2026-09-13 15:52:11AWAY · 배당 4.02 · 변동 -6.50% · 2026-09-13 16:32:27AWAY · 배당 3.73 · 변동 -13.18% · 2026-09-13 16:32:28AWAY · 배당 4.14 · 변동 -3.75% · 2026-09-13 16:32:29AWAY · 배당 3.94 · 변동 -8.32% · 2026-09-13 17:12:18AWAY · 배당 4.00 · 변동 -6.89% · 2026-09-13 17:52:19AWAY · 배당 3.92 · 변동 -8.79% · 2026-09-13 17:52:20AWAY · 배당 4.00 · 변동 -6.89% · 2026-09-13 18:32:26AWAY · 배당 3.92 · 변동 -8.79% · 2026-09-13 18:32:27AWAY · 배당 3.94 · 변동 -8.32% · 2026-09-13 19:12:15AWAY · 배당 3.91 · 변동 -9.02% · 2026-09-13 19:52:24AWAY · 배당 4.15 · 변동 -3.40% · 2026-09-13 19:52:25AWAY · 배당 3.96 · 변동 -7.76% · 2026-09-13 20:32:15AWAY · 배당 3.92 · 변동 -8.87% · 2026-09-13 20:32:16AWAY · 배당 3.79 · 변동 -11.89% · 2026-09-13 21:12:09AWAY · 배당 4.03 · 변동 -6.31% · 2026-09-13 21:12:10AWAY · 배당 3.85 · 변동 -10.50% · 2026-09-13 21:42:18AWAY · 배당 3.85 · 변동 -10.50% · 2026-09-13 22:12:13AWAY · 배당 3.85 · 변동 -10.50% · 2026-09-13 22:42:20AWAY · 배당 3.85 · 변동 -10.50% · 2026-09-13 23:12:05AWAY · 배당 3.79 · 변동 -11.89% · 2026-09-13 23:42:16AWAY · 배당 4.03 · 변동 -6.31% · 2026-09-13 23:42:17
HOME66 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.00
→
CURRENT2.14
+6.75%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW66 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.00
→
CURRENT2.98
-0.60%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY66 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN4.30
→
CURRENT4.03
-6.31%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-09-12 00:15:042.003.004.30
2026-09-13 00:12:062.052.804.00
2026-09-13 00:12:072.082.934.02
2026-09-13 00:42:182.082.924.02
2026-09-13 01:12:132.082.934.00
2026-09-13 01:12:142.082.904.04
2026-09-13 01:42:202.052.804.00
2026-09-13 01:42:212.082.934.02
2026-09-13 02:12:122.082.913.94
2026-09-13 02:12:132.022.954.60
2026-09-13 02:42:192.082.934.00
2026-09-13 02:42:202.082.904.04
2026-09-13 03:12:062.092.923.95
2026-09-13 03:42:112.052.804.00
2026-09-13 03:42:122.102.933.94
2026-09-13 04:12:042.092.923.95
2026-09-13 04:42:052.072.914.02
2026-09-13 04:42:062.102.923.91
2026-09-13 05:12:132.092.923.95
2026-09-13 05:42:132.092.923.95
2026-09-13 06:12:062.092.943.98
2026-09-13 06:42:232.052.954.10
2026-09-13 06:42:242.092.923.89
2026-09-13 06:42:252.123.004.15
2026-09-13 07:12:072.092.943.98
2026-09-13 07:42:112.092.943.98
2026-09-13 08:12:102.092.943.98
2026-09-13 08:42:142.052.954.10
2026-09-13 08:42:152.102.933.94
2026-09-13 09:12:042.082.943.97
2026-09-13 09:42:112.082.943.97
2026-09-13 10:12:052.082.943.97
2026-09-13 10:42:052.082.943.97
2026-09-13 11:12:122.072.923.92
2026-09-13 11:12:132.112.994.11
2026-09-13 11:42:062.082.943.97
2026-09-13 12:12:062.082.943.97
2026-09-13 12:42:192.082.943.97
2026-09-13 13:12:052.082.943.97
2026-09-13 13:42:062.082.943.97
2026-09-13 14:12:052.082.943.97
2026-09-13 14:42:132.072.923.92
2026-09-13 14:42:142.112.994.11
2026-09-13 15:12:042.092.913.94
2026-09-13 15:52:112.092.913.94
2026-09-13 16:32:272.082.904.02
2026-09-13 16:32:282.092.893.73
2026-09-13 16:32:292.122.964.14
2026-09-13 17:12:182.092.913.94
2026-09-13 17:52:192.082.904.00
2026-09-13 17:52:202.102.923.92
2026-09-13 18:32:262.082.904.00
2026-09-13 18:32:272.102.923.92
2026-09-13 19:12:152.092.913.94
2026-09-13 19:52:242.092.913.91
2026-09-13 19:52:252.122.954.15
2026-09-13 20:32:152.082.933.96
2026-09-13 20:32:162.112.903.92
2026-09-13 21:12:092.112.903.79
2026-09-13 21:12:102.142.984.03
2026-09-13 21:42:182.112.923.85
2026-09-13 22:12:132.112.923.85
2026-09-13 22:42:202.112.923.85
2026-09-13 23:12:052.112.923.85
2026-09-13 23:42:162.112.903.79
2026-09-13 23:42:172.142.984.03

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.09.14Independiente1 : 1San Lorenzo
2026.05.03San Lorenzo1 : 2Independiente
2025.09.22Independiente1 : 1San Lorenzo
2025.03.09San Lorenzo1 : 2Independiente
2024.08.04Independiente0 : 0San Lorenzo