경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Major League Soccer USA · Regular Season - 24

Philadelphia UnionHOME · 1.67

5 : 02026.09.10 · 종료

FC CincinnatiAWAY · 4.20

HOME · 현재 순위 9위 승점 27 · 23경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 6위 승점 31 · 22경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.4%

DRAW19.2%

AWAY16.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH93 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 46.2% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +8.3%

VALUE EDGE+8.3%

FAIR ODDS1.55

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +36.5%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +30.6%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -7.1%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +4.6%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

Philadelphia Union분석 지표FC Cincinnati

66.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

2.50 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.75

1.42 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.83

66.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

93/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.8 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME56.1%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승53.9%표본 141경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.3%현재 이동 +0.6%

OPEN → NOW1.66 → 1.67배당 업데이트 2026-09-09 23:42:03

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

64.4%

DRAW

19.2%

AWAY

16.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Philadelphia Union

W · 2-0W · 1-3D · 1-1D · 2-2W · 2-3

FC Cincinnati

L · 4-0D · 1-1W · 2-1D · 1-1L · 1-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.68

→

CURRENT1.69

+0.14%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.28

→

CURRENT4.30

+0.49%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.19

→

CURRENT4.18

-0.26%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-09 11:52:03	1.68	4.28	4.19
2026-09-09 12:02:02	1.68	4.28	4.19
2026-09-09 12:12:02	1.68	4.29	4.20
2026-09-09 12:12:03	1.70	4.20	4.15
2026-09-09 12:22:02	1.68	4.28	4.19
2026-09-09 12:32:02	1.68	4.28	4.19
2026-09-09 12:42:02	1.68	4.28	4.19
2026-09-09 12:52:02	1.68	4.28	4.19
2026-09-09 13:02:02	1.68	4.28	4.19
2026-09-09 13:12:03	1.68	4.28	4.19
2026-09-09 13:22:02	1.67	4.25	4.20
2026-09-09 13:22:03	1.69	4.29	4.19
2026-09-09 13:32:03	1.68	4.28	4.19
2026-09-09 13:42:02	1.68	4.28	4.19
2026-09-09 13:52:02	1.68	4.28	4.19
2026-09-09 14:02:02	1.68	4.28	4.19
2026-09-09 14:12:02	1.68	4.28	4.19
2026-09-09 14:22:02	1.68	4.28	4.19
2026-09-09 14:32:02	1.69	4.27	4.19
2026-09-09 14:42:02	1.69	4.27	4.19
2026-09-09 14:52:02	1.69	4.27	4.19
2026-09-09 15:02:02	1.69	4.27	4.19
2026-09-09 15:12:02	1.69	4.27	4.19
2026-09-09 15:22:03	1.69	4.27	4.19
2026-09-09 15:32:02	1.69	4.27	4.19
2026-09-09 15:42:02	1.69	4.27	4.19
2026-09-09 15:52:02	1.69	4.27	4.19
2026-09-09 16:02:02	1.69	4.27	4.19
2026-09-09 16:12:02	1.69	4.27	4.19
2026-09-09 16:22:02	1.68	4.26	4.18
2026-09-09 16:22:03	1.73	4.40	4.30
2026-09-09 16:32:02	1.69	4.27	4.19
2026-09-09 16:42:02	1.68	4.23	4.17
2026-09-09 16:42:03	1.69	4.28	4.20
2026-09-09 16:52:03	1.69	4.27	4.19
2026-09-09 17:02:03	1.69	4.27	4.19
2026-09-09 17:12:02	1.69	4.27	4.19
2026-09-09 17:22:03	1.69	4.27	4.19
2026-09-09 17:32:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 17:42:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 17:52:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 18:02:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 18:12:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 18:22:03	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 18:32:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 18:42:02	1.67	4.55	4.00
2026-09-09 18:42:03	1.69	4.28	4.20
2026-09-09 18:52:03	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 19:02:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 19:12:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 19:22:03	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 19:32:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 19:42:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 19:52:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 20:02:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 20:12:01	1.68	4.30	4.15
2026-09-09 20:12:02	1.69	4.29	4.21
2026-09-09 20:22:02	1.67	4.55	4.00
2026-09-09 20:22:03	1.69	4.28	4.20
2026-09-09 20:32:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 20:42:02	1.68	4.30	4.14
2026-09-09 20:42:03	1.71	4.30	4.28
2026-09-09 21:02:02	1.68	4.30	4.15
2026-09-09 21:02:03	1.69	4.29	4.21
2026-09-09 21:12:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 21:22:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 21:32:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 21:42:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 21:52:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 22:02:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 22:12:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 22:22:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 22:32:03	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 22:42:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 22:52:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 23:02:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 23:12:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 23:22:02	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 23:32:03	1.69	4.30	4.18
2026-09-09 23:42:03	1.69	4.30	4.18

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.10	Philadelphia Union	5 : 0	FC Cincinnati
2025.08.31	FC Cincinnati	0 : 1	Philadelphia Union
2025.03.02	Philadelphia Union	4 : 1	FC Cincinnati
2024.10.21	Philadelphia Union	1 : 2	FC Cincinnati
2024.06.20	FC Cincinnati	4 : 3	Philadelphia Union