경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Major League Soccer USA · Regular Season - 23

Seattle SoundersHOME · 1.80

0 : 02026.09.06 · 종료

New York Red BullsAWAY · 3.90

HOME · 현재 순위 12위 승점 26 · 21경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 8위 승점 26 · 22경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME52.2%

DRAW19.7%

AWAY28.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 40.1% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +3.7%

VALUE EDGE+3.7%

FAIR ODDS3.56

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 77/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +3.9%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +16.7%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG EVEN -1.3%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -0.3%p

INJURIES AWAY -5.4%p

• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Seattle Sounders분석 지표New York Red Bulls

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

1.83 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.25

1.25 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.50

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

7.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

88/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.3 / 15

예측 분리도10.3 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME52.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승55.3%표본 161경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승25.0%표본 4경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승50.0%현재 이동 -4.3%

OPEN → NOW1.88 → 1.80배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:42:04

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

52.2%

DRAW

19.7%

AWAY

28.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Seattle Sounders

D · 2-2D · 1-1L · 1-2L · 0-2L · 1-2

New York Red Bulls

L · 1-3D · 1-1L · 0-1L · 2-1W · 3-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.81

→

CURRENT1.78

-1.77%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.11

→

CURRENT4.15

+1.07%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.72

→

CURRENT3.92

+5.34%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-06 08:57:03	1.81	4.11	3.72
2026-09-06 09:02:03	1.81	4.11	3.72
2026-09-06 09:07:03	1.81	4.11	3.72
2026-09-06 09:17:03	1.81	4.11	3.72
2026-09-06 09:27:03	1.75	4.20	3.50
2026-09-06 09:27:04	1.83	4.08	3.77
2026-09-06 09:32:02	1.75	4.20	3.50
2026-09-06 09:32:03	1.83	4.08	3.77
2026-09-06 09:37:03	1.81	4.11	3.72
2026-09-06 09:47:03	1.81	4.11	3.72
2026-09-06 09:57:04	1.81	4.11	3.72
2026-09-06 10:02:02	1.81	4.11	3.72
2026-09-06 10:07:02	1.81	4.11	3.72
2026-09-06 10:17:03	1.79	4.07	3.71
2026-09-06 10:17:04	1.84	4.17	3.73
2026-09-06 10:27:02	1.79	4.15	3.65
2026-09-06 10:27:03	1.83	4.08	3.76
2026-09-06 10:32:03	1.81	4.11	3.72
2026-09-06 10:37:02	1.75	4.20	3.50
2026-09-06 10:37:03	1.83	4.08	3.77
2026-09-06 10:47:02	1.79	4.07	3.71
2026-09-06 10:47:03	1.84	4.17	3.73
2026-09-06 10:57:03	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 11:02:02	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 11:07:02	1.79	3.98	3.86
2026-09-06 11:07:03	1.79	4.26	3.91
2026-09-06 11:17:03	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 11:27:04	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 11:32:02	1.80	4.00	3.83
2026-09-06 11:32:03	1.78	4.15	3.92
2026-09-06 11:37:03	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 11:47:03	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 11:57:03	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 12:02:02	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 12:07:02	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 12:17:03	1.78	4.07	3.84
2026-09-06 12:17:04	1.82	4.18	4.06
2026-09-06 12:25:07	1.79	3.98	3.86
2026-09-06 12:25:08	1.79	4.26	3.91
2026-09-06 12:25:35	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 12:26:31	1.80	4.00	3.83
2026-09-06 12:26:32	1.78	4.15	3.92
2026-09-06 12:27:03	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 12:32:02	1.79	3.98	3.86
2026-09-06 12:32:03	1.79	4.26	3.91
2026-09-06 12:36:04	1.80	3.80	3.75
2026-09-06 12:36:05	1.79	4.16	3.91
2026-09-06 12:37:03	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 12:38:13	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 12:40:30	1.80	4.00	3.83
2026-09-06 12:40:31	1.78	4.15	3.92
2026-09-06 13:02:02	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 13:32:03	1.78	4.07	3.84
2026-09-06 13:32:04	1.82	4.18	4.06
2026-09-06 14:02:03	1.78	4.07	3.84
2026-09-06 14:02:04	1.82	4.18	4.06
2026-09-06 14:32:03	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 15:02:02	1.78	4.07	3.84
2026-09-06 15:02:03	1.82	4.18	4.06
2026-09-06 15:32:02	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 16:02:02	1.80	4.00	3.83
2026-09-06 16:02:03	1.78	4.15	3.92
2026-09-06 16:32:02	1.80	4.00	3.83
2026-09-06 16:32:03	1.78	4.15	3.92
2026-09-06 17:02:02	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 17:32:04	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 18:02:03	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 18:32:02	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 19:12:03	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 19:52:02	1.80	4.00	3.83
2026-09-06 19:52:03	1.76	4.14	3.85
2026-09-06 19:52:04	1.82	4.18	4.06
2026-09-06 20:32:02	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 21:12:03	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 21:42:02	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 22:12:01	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 22:42:03	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 23:12:02	1.79	4.09	3.88
2026-09-06 23:42:03	1.80	4.00	3.83
2026-09-06 23:42:04	1.78	4.15	3.92

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.06	Seattle Sounders	0 : 0	New York Red Bulls

부상 / 결장

A. MarcucciNew York Red Bulls · Knee Injury

Missing Fixture

R. MosqueraNew York Red Bulls · Thigh Injury

Questionable

J. FerreiraSeattle Sounders · Injury

Missing Fixture

J. RagenSeattle Sounders · Knee Injury

Missing Fixture

N. PetkovicSeattle Sounders · Knee Injury

Missing Fixture

P. ArriolaSeattle Sounders · Calf Injury

Questionable

P. de La VegaSeattle Sounders · Calf Injury

Missing Fixture

Y. Gomez AndradeSeattle Sounders · Muscle Injury

Missing Fixture

경기 통계

경기 통계가 아직 없습니다. 경기 전/라이브 coverage에 따라 수집됩니다.

분석 주의사항

표본 수가 작을 때 역사적 승률은 모델에서 자동으로 낮은 가중치를 받습니다. 현재 확률은 확정 결과가 아니라 시장 데이터와 누적 경기 결과를 결합한 분석값입니다.