경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Major League Soccer USA · Regular Season - 23

Philadelphia UnionHOME · 1.42

2 : 02026.09.06 · 종료

CF MontrealAWAY · 6.64

HOME · 현재 순위 12위 승점 24 · 22경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 14위 승점 21 · 22경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.3%

DRAW23.1%

AWAY21.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH93 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 44.8% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +7.4%

VALUE EDGE+7.4%

FAIR ODDS4.62

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 85/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +17.8%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +13.9%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +6.3%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN +0.8%p

INJURIES EVEN +1.8%p

Philadelphia Union분석 지표CF Montreal

66.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

2.67 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.33

1.33 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.92

66.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 20.0%

7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 2.9일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

93/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도13.3 / 15

예측 분리도13.8 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME66.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승70.7%표본 41경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.2%현재 이동 -1.4%

OPEN → NOW1.44 → 1.42배당 업데이트 2026-09-05 23:57:03

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

55.3%

DRAW

23.1%

AWAY

21.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Philadelphia Union

W · 1-3D · 1-1D · 2-2W · 2-3L · 0-2

CF Montreal

D · 1-1L · 7-1D · 2-2W · 1-2D · 1-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.42

→

CURRENT1.42

-0.35%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN5.02

→

CURRENT5.02

+0.10%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN6.51

→

CURRENT6.65

+2.11%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-05 15:17:03	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 15:27:03	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 15:32:02	1.42	4.97	6.43
2026-09-05 15:32:03	1.42	5.16	6.73
2026-09-05 15:37:02	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 15:47:02	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 15:57:02	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 16:07:02	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 16:12:02	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 16:17:03	1.42	4.97	6.43
2026-09-05 16:17:04	1.42	5.16	6.73
2026-09-05 16:27:04	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 16:37:02	1.42	4.97	6.43
2026-09-05 16:37:03	1.42	5.16	6.73
2026-09-05 16:47:03	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 16:52:02	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 16:57:03	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 17:07:02	1.44	5.00	6.50
2026-09-05 17:07:03	1.41	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 17:17:04	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 17:27:04	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 17:32:04	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 17:37:03	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 17:47:03	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 17:57:03	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 18:07:02	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 18:12:03	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 18:17:04	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 18:27:04	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 18:37:03	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 18:47:04	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 18:52:03	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 18:57:04	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 19:07:03	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 19:17:03	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 19:27:03	1.43	4.95	6.40
2026-09-05 19:27:04	1.41	5.08	6.62
2026-09-05 19:32:02	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 19:37:03	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 19:47:03	1.44	5.00	6.50
2026-09-05 19:47:04	1.41	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 19:57:04	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 20:07:03	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 20:12:02	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 20:17:02	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 20:27:02	1.44	5.00	6.50
2026-09-05 20:27:03	1.41	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 20:37:03	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 20:47:05	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 20:52:02	1.44	5.00	6.50
2026-09-05 20:52:03	1.41	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 20:57:03	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 21:07:03	1.43	4.95	6.40
2026-09-05 21:07:04	1.41	5.08	6.62
2026-09-05 21:17:03	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 21:27:02	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 21:32:02	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 21:37:02	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 21:47:02	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 21:57:03	1.42	4.97	6.43
2026-09-05 21:57:04	1.42	5.16	6.73
2026-09-05 22:07:03	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 22:12:02	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 22:17:03	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 22:27:03	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 22:37:03	1.42	5.02	6.51
2026-09-05 22:47:04	1.42	5.02	6.65
2026-09-05 22:52:02	1.42	5.00	7.00
2026-09-05 22:52:03	1.41	5.03	6.53
2026-09-05 22:57:06	1.42	5.02	6.65
2026-09-05 23:07:02	1.41	4.97	6.60
2026-09-05 23:07:03	1.43	5.18	6.78
2026-09-05 23:17:03	1.42	5.02	6.65
2026-09-05 23:27:03	1.42	5.02	6.65
2026-09-05 23:32:03	1.42	4.95	6.65
2026-09-05 23:32:04	1.42	5.09	6.64
2026-09-05 23:37:02	1.42	5.00	7.00
2026-09-05 23:37:03	1.41	5.03	6.53
2026-09-05 23:47:03	1.42	5.02	6.65
2026-09-05 23:57:03	1.42	5.02	6.65

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.06	Philadelphia Union	2 : 0	CF Montreal
2026.04.12	CF Montreal	1 : 2	Philadelphia Union
2026.02.11	Philadelphia Union	2 : 4	CF Montreal
2025.07.17	Philadelphia Union	2 : 1	CF Montreal
2025.05.04	CF Montreal	1 : 2	Philadelphia Union
2024.06.30	CF Montreal	4 : 2	Philadelphia Union
2024.06.02	Philadelphia Union	2 : 2	CF Montreal