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종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

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Major League Soccer USA · Regular Season - 23

New York City FCHOME · 2.56

0 : 02026.09.05 · 종료

Nashville SCAWAY · 2.55

HOME · 현재 순위 7위 승점 28 · 22경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 1위 승점 52 · 22경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME20.8%

DRAW27.4%

AWAY51.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH87 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 40.1% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +15.1%

VALUE EDGE+15.1%

FAIR ODDS1.93

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 96/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -8.6%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -8.3%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -29.2%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -4.4%p

INJURIES AWAY -7.2%p

New York City FC분석 지표Nashville SC

16.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%

1.25 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.42

1.50 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.00

20.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 40.0%

6.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

87/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도10.5 / 15

예측 분리도10.4 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME36.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승34.7%표본 245경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 4경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승45.0%현재 이동 +2.2%

OPEN → NOW2.50 → 2.56배당 업데이트 2026-09-04 23:57:02

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

20.8%

DRAW

27.4%

AWAY

51.8%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

New York City FC

D · 1-1D · 1-1L · 2-1L · 2-3L · 1-2

Nashville SC

W · 4-0W · 3-2W · 0-1W · 4-1L · 2-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.55

→

CURRENT2.57

+0.65%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.49

→

CURRENT3.48

-0.12%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.58

→

CURRENT2.56

-0.68%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-04 16:37:02	2.55	3.49	2.58
2026-09-04 16:47:02	2.55	3.49	2.58
2026-09-04 16:52:01	2.56	3.55	2.50
2026-09-04 16:52:02	2.55	3.48	2.59
2026-09-04 16:57:02	2.55	3.49	2.58
2026-09-04 17:07:02	2.55	3.49	2.58
2026-09-04 17:12:02	2.55	3.49	2.58
2026-09-04 17:17:02	2.54	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 17:17:03	2.60	3.55	2.66
2026-09-04 17:27:02	2.55	3.49	2.58
2026-09-04 17:32:02	2.55	3.49	2.58
2026-09-04 17:37:02	2.54	3.48	2.57
2026-09-04 17:37:03	2.65	3.55	2.65
2026-09-04 17:47:02	2.55	3.49	2.58
2026-09-04 17:52:03	2.55	3.49	2.58
2026-09-04 17:57:02	2.55	3.49	2.58
2026-09-04 18:07:02	2.55	3.49	2.58
2026-09-04 18:12:01	2.53	3.47	2.56
2026-09-04 18:12:02	2.60	3.55	2.64
2026-09-04 18:17:02	2.55	3.49	2.58
2026-09-04 18:27:03	2.55	3.49	2.58
2026-09-04 18:32:02	2.55	3.49	2.58
2026-09-04 18:37:02	2.55	3.49	2.58
2026-09-04 18:47:02	2.55	3.49	2.58
2026-09-04 18:52:01	2.54	3.50	2.55
2026-09-04 18:52:02	2.55	3.48	2.60
2026-09-04 18:57:03	2.55	3.49	2.58
2026-09-04 19:07:02	2.54	3.48	2.57
2026-09-04 19:07:03	2.65	3.55	2.65
2026-09-04 19:12:01	2.53	3.51	2.57
2026-09-04 19:12:02	2.57	3.46	2.60
2026-09-04 19:17:02	2.55	3.49	2.58
2026-09-04 19:27:01	2.55	3.49	2.58
2026-09-04 19:32:02	2.55	3.49	2.58
2026-09-04 19:37:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 19:47:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 19:52:01	2.51	3.53	2.50
2026-09-04 19:52:02	2.58	3.48	2.58
2026-09-04 19:57:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 20:07:01	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 20:12:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 20:17:01	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 20:27:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 20:32:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 20:37:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 20:47:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 20:52:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 20:57:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 21:07:03	2.56	3.47	2.54
2026-09-04 21:07:04	2.60	3.55	2.66
2026-09-04 21:12:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 21:17:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 21:27:03	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 21:32:01	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 21:37:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 21:47:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 21:52:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 21:57:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 22:07:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 22:12:01	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 22:17:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 22:27:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 22:32:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 22:37:02	2.56	3.47	2.54
2026-09-04 22:37:03	2.60	3.55	2.66
2026-09-04 22:47:03	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 22:52:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 22:57:03	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 23:07:05	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 23:12:01	2.56	3.55	2.50
2026-09-04 23:12:02	2.57	3.48	2.57
2026-09-04 23:17:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 23:27:03	2.55	3.47	2.54
2026-09-04 23:27:04	2.62	3.53	2.63
2026-09-04 23:32:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 23:37:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 23:47:02	2.57	3.48	2.56
2026-09-04 23:52:02	2.54	3.51	2.55
2026-09-04 23:52:03	2.59	3.45	2.58
2026-09-04 23:57:02	2.57	3.48	2.56

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.05	New York City FC	0 : 0	Nashville SC
2026.05.24	Nashville SC	2 : 1	New York City FC
2025.08.18	New York City FC	2 : 1	Nashville SC
2025.06.01	Nashville SC	2 : 2	New York City FC
2024.10.07	New York City FC	3 : 1	Nashville SC
2024.06.23	Nashville SC	1 : 0	New York City FC

부상 / 결장

W. MadrigalNashville SC · Lower-Body Injury

Missing Fixture

A. FarnosNew York City FC · Injury

Missing Fixture

A. MartinezNew York City FC · Knee Injury

Missing Fixture

A. O'NeillNew York City FC · Ankle Injury

Questionable

D. BaieraNew York City FC · Knee Injury

Missing Fixture

H. WolfNew York City FC · Leg Injury

Missing Fixture

K. ParksNew York City FC · Injury

Missing Fixture

K. TrewinNew York City FC · Ankle Injury

Missing Fixture

M. MoralezNew York City FC · Knee Injury

Missing Fixture

Talles MagnoNew York City FC · Muscle Injury

Missing Fixture

Thiago MartinsNew York City FC · Injury

Questionable

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분석 주의사항

표본 수가 작을 때 역사적 승률은 모델에서 자동으로 낮은 가중치를 받습니다. 현재 확률은 확정 결과가 아니라 시장 데이터와 누적 경기 결과를 결합한 분석값입니다.