Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Baltic League Europe · Baltic League - 3rd place

LietkabelisHOME · -

86 : 642016.04.06 · 종료

Valmiera/ORDOAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME63.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY36.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 57.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +63.4%

VALUE EDGE+63.4%

FAIR ODDS1.58

GRADEA

LietkabelisAnalysis MetricsValmiera/ORDO

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%

-2.58 Point MarginHigher is better +8.42

156.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 149.92

57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%

6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.2 / 15

Prediction separation11.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

63.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

36.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Lietkabelis

L · 90-74L · 79-91L · 77-67W · 64-59W · 61-84

Valmiera/ORDO

W · 90-74L · 68-75L · 68-64W · 80-78W · 71-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2016.04.06	Lietkabelis	86 : 64	Valmiera/ORDO
2016.03.31	Valmiera/ORDO	90 : 74	Lietkabelis
2016.01.20	Valmiera/ORDO	87 : 85	Lietkabelis
2015.11.19	Lietkabelis	73 : 65	Valmiera/ORDO
2015.01.08	Valmiera/ORDO	74 : 71	Lietkabelis
2014.11.05	Lietkabelis	96 : 85	Valmiera/ORDO