Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Baltic League Europe · Baltic League - 3rd place

Valmiera/ORDOHOME · -

90 : 742016.03.31 · 종료

LietkabelisAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY43.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 52.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +56.7%

VALUE EDGE+56.7%

FAIR ODDS1.76

GRADEA

Valmiera/ORDOAnalysis MetricsLietkabelis

83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

+8.42 Point MarginHigher is better -2.58

149.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.75

100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.2 / 15

Prediction separation5.7 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

56.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

43.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Valmiera/ORDO

L · 68-75L · 68-64W · 80-78W · 71-81W · 87-68

Lietkabelis

L · 79-91L · 77-67W · 64-59W · 61-84W · 92-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2016.04.06	Lietkabelis	86 : 64	Valmiera/ORDO
2016.03.31	Valmiera/ORDO	90 : 74	Lietkabelis
2016.01.20	Valmiera/ORDO	87 : 85	Lietkabelis
2015.11.19	Lietkabelis	73 : 65	Valmiera/ORDO
2015.01.08	Valmiera/ORDO	74 : 71	Lietkabelis
2014.11.05	Lietkabelis	96 : 85	Valmiera/ORDO