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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe · Baltic League - Semi-finals
Valmiera/ORDOHOME · -
68 : 752016.03.24 · 종료
Tartu UlikoolAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 68.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +66.0%
VALUE EDGE+66.0%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADEA
Valmiera/ORDOAnalysis MetricsTartu Ulikool
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+8.42 Point MarginHigher is better -3.25
149.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.58
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation13.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
66.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
34.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Valmiera/ORDO
L · 68-64W · 80-78W · 71-81W · 87-68W · 66-84
Tartu Ulikool
W · 68-64W · 76-80W · 93-66W · 99-74W · 105-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.03.24Valmiera/ORDO68 : 75Tartu Ulikool
2016.03.16Tartu Ulikool68 : 64Valmiera/ORDO