Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Baltic League Europe · Baltic League - Semi-finals

Tartu UlikoolHOME · -

68 : 642016.03.16 · 종료

Valmiera/ORDOAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY31.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100

AI PICK HOME 68.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +68.3%

VALUE EDGE+68.3%

FAIR ODDS1.46

GRADEB

Tartu UlikoolAnalysis MetricsValmiera/ORDO

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%

-3.25 Point MarginHigher is better +8.42

172.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 149.92

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage17.7 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

68.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

31.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Tartu Ulikool

W · 76-80W · 93-66W · 99-74W · 105-77L · 62-52

Valmiera/ORDO

W · 80-78W · 71-81W · 87-68W · 66-84W · 57-66

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2016.03.24	Valmiera/ORDO	68 : 75	Tartu Ulikool
2016.03.16	Tartu Ulikool	68 : 64	Valmiera/ORDO