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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe · Baltic League - Quarter-finals
JekabpilsHOME · -
93 : 912016.03.11 · 종료
SiauliaiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME53.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 52.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +53.4%
VALUE EDGE+53.4%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEA
JekabpilsAnalysis MetricsSiauliai
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-30.17 Point MarginHigher is better -2.75
167.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.92
14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
9.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 9.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.2 / 15
Prediction separation2.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
53.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
46.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Jekabpils
L · 73-64W · 93-65L · 79-65W · 100-82W · 72-70
Siauliai
W · 73-64W · 80-85W · 101-61L · 70-68D · 60-60

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.03.11Jekabpils93 : 91Siauliai
2016.03.02Siauliai73 : 64Jekabpils