Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Baltic League
Europe · Baltic League - Quarter-finals
Valmiera/ORDOHOME · -
80 : 782016.03.10 · 종료
Pieno ZvaigzdesAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.2%
VALUE EDGE+58.2%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEA
Valmiera/ORDOAnalysis MetricsPieno Zvaigzdes
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+8.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.00
149.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.00
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.7 / 15
Prediction separation7.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Valmiera/ORDO
W · 71-81W · 87-68W · 66-84W · 57-66W · 87-85
Pieno Zvaigzdes
L · 71-81D · 93-93W · 110-84L · 85-65W · 76-65
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017.01.26 | Pieno Zvaigzdes | 77 : 71 | Valmiera/ORDO |
| 2016.11.09 | Valmiera/ORDO | 58 : 59 | Pieno Zvaigzdes |
| 2016.03.10 | Valmiera/ORDO | 80 : 78 | Pieno Zvaigzdes |
| 2016.03.03 | Pieno Zvaigzdes | 71 : 81 | Valmiera/ORDO |