Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Baltic League
Europe · Baltic League - Quarter-finals
BK LiepajaHOME · -
76 : 802016.03.09 · 종료
Tartu UlikoolAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.0%
VALUE EDGE+61.0%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEA
BK LiepajaAnalysis MetricsTartu Ulikool
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+3.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.25
161.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.58
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation9.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BK Liepaja
L · 93-66W · 93-87W · 50-74L · 72-70W · 77-69
Tartu Ulikool
W · 93-66W · 99-74W · 105-77L · 62-52W · 72-63
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.01 | BK Liepaja | 83 : 87 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2024.01.15 | BK Liepaja | 78 : 84 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2023.12.23 | Tartu Ulikool | 78 : 63 | BK Liepaja |
| 2023.01.26 | Tartu Ulikool | 89 : 62 | BK Liepaja |
| 2022.12.03 | BK Liepaja | 65 : 84 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2019.03.03 | Tartu Ulikool | 86 : 68 | BK Liepaja |
| 2018.12.16 | BK Liepaja | 89 : 78 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2016.03.09 | BK Liepaja | 76 : 80 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2016.03.02 | Tartu Ulikool | 93 : 66 | BK Liepaja |
| 2015.02.27 | Tartu Ulikool | 59 : 49 | BK Liepaja |