Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Baltic League Europe · Baltic League - Quarter-finals

Pieno ZvaigzdesHOME · -

71 : 812016.03.03 · 종료

Valmiera/ORDOAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY32.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 68.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +67.6%

VALUE EDGE+67.6%

FAIR ODDS1.48

GRADEA

Pieno ZvaigzdesAnalysis MetricsValmiera/ORDO

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%

-10.00 Point MarginHigher is better +8.42

172.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 149.92

20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement3.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

67.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

32.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Pieno Zvaigzdes

D · 93-93W · 110-84L · 85-65W · 76-65W · 89-68

Valmiera/ORDO

W · 87-68W · 66-84W · 57-66W · 87-85L · 111-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2017.01.26	Pieno Zvaigzdes	77 : 71	Valmiera/ORDO
2016.11.09	Valmiera/ORDO	58 : 59	Pieno Zvaigzdes
2016.03.10	Valmiera/ORDO	80 : 78	Pieno Zvaigzdes
2016.03.03	Pieno Zvaigzdes	71 : 81	Valmiera/ORDO