Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Baltic League
Europe · Baltic League - Quarter-finals
NevezisHOME · -
61 : 842016.03.03 · 종료
LietkabelisAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.4%
VALUE EDGE+60.4%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADES
NevezisAnalysis MetricsLietkabelis
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-7.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.58
159.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
156.75
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation8.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nevezis
W · 83-107L · 78-83W · 82-76L · 57-69L · 96-75
Lietkabelis
W · 92-78D · 88-88L · 87-85W · 98-70W · 92-97
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.18 | Nevezis | 72 : 73 | Lietkabelis |
| 2025.01.20 | Lietkabelis | 77 : 67 | Nevezis |
| 2024.12.24 | Nevezis | 79 : 78 | Lietkabelis |
| 2020.02.02 | Lietkabelis | 85 : 69 | Nevezis |
| 2019.11.18 | Lietkabelis | 75 : 51 | Nevezis |
| 2019.10.10 | Nevezis | 91 : 68 | Lietkabelis |
| 2019.04.15 | Lietkabelis | 101 : 60 | Nevezis |
| 2019.03.01 | Nevezis | 80 : 97 | Lietkabelis |
| 2018.12.08 | Nevezis | 68 : 83 | Lietkabelis |
| 2018.11.04 | Lietkabelis | 87 : 66 | Nevezis |