Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Baltic League
Europe · Baltic League - Quarter-finals
SiauliaiHOME · -
73 : 642016.03.02 · 종료
JekabpilsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.2%
VALUE EDGE+73.2%
FAIR ODDS1.37
GRADEA
SiauliaiAnalysis MetricsJekabpils
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-2.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-30.17
167.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.67
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Siauliai
W · 80-85W · 101-61L · 70-68D · 60-60W · 73-69
Jekabpils
W · 93-65L · 79-65W · 100-82W · 72-70L · 83-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.03.11 | Jekabpils | 93 : 91 | Siauliai |
| 2016.03.02 | Siauliai | 73 : 64 | Jekabpils |