Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Baltic League Europe

JekabpilsHOME · -

93 : 652016.02.24 · 종료

RaplaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY30.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 68.2% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +69.5%

VALUE EDGE+69.5%

FAIR ODDS1.44

GRADEA

JekabpilsAnalysis MetricsRapla

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-30.17 Point MarginHigher is better -3.58

167.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 149.25

14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement4.6 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

69.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

30.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Jekabpils

L · 79-65W · 100-82W · 72-70L · 83-81W · 94-78

Rapla

W · 79-65L · 57-66L · 83-57L · 98-70W · 57-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2019.03.06	Rapla	104 : 80	Jekabpils
2018.10.01	Jekabpils	69 : 79	Rapla
2016.02.24	Jekabpils	93 : 65	Rapla
2016.02.10	Rapla	79 : 65	Jekabpils