Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Baltic League
Europe
Tallinna KalevHOME · -
66 : 842016.02.11 · 종료
Valmiera/ORDOAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.6%
VALUE EDGE+57.6%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
Tallinna KalevAnalysis MetricsValmiera/ORDO
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-13.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.42
163.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.92
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.1 / 15
Prediction separation6.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tallinna Kalev
L · 94-88W · 83-57W · 80-79W · 72-66L · 101-72
Valmiera/ORDO
W · 57-66W · 87-85L · 111-69L · 80-79W · 75-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.02.25 | Valmiera/ORDO | 87 : 68 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2016.02.11 | Tallinna Kalev | 66 : 84 | Valmiera/ORDO |
| 2016.01.06 | Tallinna Kalev | 80 : 79 | Valmiera/ORDO |
| 2015.10.28 | Valmiera/ORDO | 72 : 65 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2014.12.17 | Tallinna Kalev | 73 : 90 | Valmiera/ORDO |
| 2014.10.29 | Valmiera/ORDO | 73 : 63 | Tallinna Kalev |