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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe
SiauliaiHOME · -
101 : 612016.02.11 · 종료
ParnuAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME80.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +80.8%
VALUE EDGE+80.8%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADEA
SiauliaiAnalysis MetricsParnu
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-2.75 Point MarginHigher is better -2.08
167.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 154.58
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
80.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
19.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Siauliai
L · 70-68D · 60-60W · 73-69W · 66-78W · 103-81
Parnu
L · 82-76W · 74-73L · 92-97L · 72-66L · 78-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.02.26Parnu80 : 85Siauliai
2016.02.11Siauliai101 : 61Parnu
2015.02.11Parnu70 : 82Siauliai
2015.02.04Siauliai108 : 71Parnu