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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe
Barons KvartalsHOME · -
94 : 882016.01.28 · 종료
Tallinna KalevAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME70.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 72.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +70.8%
VALUE EDGE+70.8%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADEA
Barons KvartalsAnalysis MetricsTallinna Kalev
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+9.83 Point MarginHigher is better -13.83
158.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.17
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
70.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
29.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Barons Kvartals
L · 74-73W · 111-69W · 96-75L · 70-77L · 87-75
Tallinna Kalev
W · 83-57W · 80-79W · 72-66L · 101-72L · 84-61

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.01.28Barons Kvartals94 : 88Tallinna Kalev
2015.11.26Tallinna Kalev87 : 72Barons Kvartals