Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Baltic League
Europe
RaplaHOME · -
57 : 662016.01.27 · 종료
Valmiera/ORDOAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME48.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+51.6%
VALUE EDGE+51.6%
FAIR ODDS1.94
GRADEA
RaplaAnalysis MetricsValmiera/ORDO
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-3.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.42
149.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.92
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.8 / 15
Prediction separation1.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rapla
L · 83-57L · 98-70W · 57-69W · 78-75W · 74-62
Valmiera/ORDO
W · 87-85L · 111-69L · 80-79W · 75-62W · 87-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017.02.22 | Valmiera/ORDO | 87 : 81 | Rapla |
| 2017.02.08 | Rapla | 65 : 78 | Valmiera/ORDO |
| 2016.01.27 | Rapla | 57 : 66 | Valmiera/ORDO |
| 2015.10.14 | Valmiera/ORDO | 90 : 59 | Rapla |