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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe
LietkabelisHOME · -
98 : 702016.01.14 · 종료
RaplaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME82.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +82.4%
VALUE EDGE+82.4%
FAIR ODDS1.21
GRADEA
LietkabelisAnalysis MetricsRapla
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-2.58 Point MarginHigher is better -3.58
156.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 149.25
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
82.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
17.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Lietkabelis
W · 92-97W · 70-77W · 67-91W · 101-72W · 73-65
Rapla
W · 57-69W · 78-75W · 74-62W · 68-57L · 70-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.01.14Lietkabelis98 : 70Rapla
2015.10.22Rapla84 : 78Lietkabelis