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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe
Rakvere TarvasHOME · -
59 : 772015.12.17 · 종료
BK LiepajaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 57.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.9%
VALUE EDGE+64.9%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
Rakvere TarvasAnalysis MetricsBK Liepaja
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-16.33 Point MarginHigher is better +3.08
169.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.58
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.0 / 15
Prediction separation12.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
35.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rakvere Tarvas
W · 82-70L · 79-73W · 57-74L · 83-85W · 71-66
BK Liepaja
W · 63-65L · 68-90L · 89-60W · 79-73W · 91-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.01.22BK Liepaja70 : 69Rakvere Tarvas
2022.11.19Rakvere Tarvas96 : 90BK Liepaja
2016.02.24BK Liepaja93 : 87Rakvere Tarvas
2016.02.11Rakvere Tarvas50 : 74BK Liepaja
2015.12.17Rakvere Tarvas59 : 77BK Liepaja
2015.11.19BK Liepaja79 : 73Rakvere Tarvas
2015.01.15BK Liepaja94 : 69Rakvere Tarvas
2014.11.06Rakvere Tarvas89 : 65BK Liepaja