Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Baltic League
Europe

JurmalaHOME · -
88 : 652015.12.17 · 종료
JekabpilsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.3%
VALUE EDGE+57.3%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
JurmalaAnalysis MetricsJekabpils
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-3.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-30.17
153.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.67
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.8 / 15
Prediction separation6.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Jurmala
L · 82-70W · 68-90L · 66-72L · 77-69L · 63-79
Jekabpils
W · 70-55W · 76-74W · 77-69L · 91-71L · 74-64
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019.01.17 | Jekabpils | 72 : 77 | Jurmala |
| 2018.11.22 | Jurmala | 79 : 61 | Jekabpils |
| 2015.12.17 | Jurmala | 88 : 65 | Jekabpils |
| 2015.11.12 | Jekabpils | 77 : 69 | Jurmala |