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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe
JurmalaHOME · -
88 : 652015.12.17 · 종료
JekabpilsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME42.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +57.3%
VALUE EDGE+57.3%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
JurmalaAnalysis MetricsJekabpils
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-3.00 Point MarginHigher is better -30.17
153.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.67
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.8 / 15
Prediction separation6.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
42.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
57.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Jurmala
L · 82-70W · 68-90L · 66-72L · 77-69L · 63-79
Jekabpils
W · 70-55W · 76-74W · 77-69L · 91-71L · 74-64

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2019.01.17Jekabpils72 : 77Jurmala
2018.11.22Jurmala79 : 61Jekabpils
2015.12.17Jurmala88 : 65Jekabpils
2015.11.12Jekabpils77 : 69Jurmala